Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a minimum temperature in Ankara on September 17 centered in the 14–15 °C range, driven by overnight radiative cooling under increasing cloud cover, light northeasterly winds, and periods of light rain or thunderstorms that limit temperature drops. Recent observations show September lows fluctuating between 11 °C and 15 °C amid variable cloud and precipitation patterns, with the incoming system expected to moderate extremes. Model spread arises mainly from differences in predicted cloud thickness and rainfall timing, which influence how effectively heat is trapped versus lost to the atmosphere. Traders appear to weight these factors toward the 13–16 °C band, reflecting typical early-autumn variability and the modest cooling signal rather than any sharp departure from seasonal baselines. Updated model runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance will likely refine the precise overnight low before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Ankara on September 17?
Lowest temperature in Ankara on September 17?
13°C 22%
14°C 22%
15°C 20%
16°C 19%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 17, 2026
11°C or below
9%
12°C
11%
13°C
22%
14°C
22%
15°C
20%
16°C
19%
17°C
16%
18°C
10%
19°C
2%
20°C
2%
21°C or higher
2%
13°C 22%
14°C 22%
15°C 20%
16°C 19%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 17, 2026
11°C or below
$0 KL.
9%
12°C
$0 KL.
11%
13°C
$0 KL.
22%
14°C
$0 KL.
22%
15°C
$0 KL.
20%
16°C
$0 KL.
19%
17°C
$0 KL.
16%
18°C
$0 KL.
10%
19°C
$0 KL.
2%
20°C
$0 KL.
2%
21°C or higher
$0 KL.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a minimum temperature in Ankara on September 17 centered in the 14–15 °C range, driven by overnight radiative cooling under increasing cloud cover, light northeasterly winds, and periods of light rain or thunderstorms that limit temperature drops. Recent observations show September lows fluctuating between 11 °C and 15 °C amid variable cloud and precipitation patterns, with the incoming system expected to moderate extremes. Model spread arises mainly from differences in predicted cloud thickness and rainfall timing, which influence how effectively heat is trapped versus lost to the atmosphere. Traders appear to weight these factors toward the 13–16 °C band, reflecting typical early-autumn variability and the modest cooling signal rather than any sharp departure from seasonal baselines. Updated model runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance will likely refine the precise overnight low before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 17, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a minimum temperature in Ankara on September 17 centered in the 14–15 °C range, driven by overnight radiative cooling under increasing cloud cover, light northeasterly winds, and periods of light rain or thunderstorms that limit temperature drops. Recent observations show September lows fluctuating between 11 °C and 15 °C amid variable cloud and precipitation patterns, with the incoming system expected to moderate extremes. Model spread arises mainly from differences in predicted cloud thickness and rainfall timing, which influence how effectively heat is trapped versus lost to the atmosphere. Traders appear to weight these factors toward the 13–16 °C band, reflecting typical early-autumn variability and the modest cooling signal rather than any sharp departure from seasonal baselines. Updated model runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance will likely refine the precise overnight low before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 17, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 15, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a minimum temperature in Ankara on September 17 centered in the 14–15 °C range, driven by overnight radiative cooling under increasing cloud cover, light northeasterly winds, and periods of light rain or thunderstorms that limit temperature drops. Recent observations show September lows fluctuating between 11 °C and 15 °C amid variable cloud and precipitation patterns, with the incoming system expected to moderate extremes. Model spread arises mainly from differences in predicted cloud thickness and rainfall timing, which influence how effectively heat is trapped versus lost to the atmosphere. Traders appear to weight these factors toward the 13–16 °C band, reflecting typical early-autumn variability and the modest cooling signal rather than any sharp departure from seasonal baselines. Updated model runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance will likely refine the precise overnight low before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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