Current forecast models from sources including the Met Office, WindBorne, and regional guidance indicate an overnight minimum of 24–25°C for Busan on September 5, supported by persistent northeasterly flow advecting mild maritime air and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy conditions. This aligns with early-September climatology, where typical lows range 21–24°C amid a gradual seasonal decline. Trader emphasis on 24°C (42.5%) and 23°C (32.5%) as leading outcomes reflects model consensus on stable temperatures with low precipitation risk, while lower probabilities for 22°C or below incorporate minor uncertainty in cloud cover and wind speed that could enhance cooling. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Busan on September 5?
28°C 47%
25°C 46%
20°C 45%
21°C 45%
19°C or below
12%
20°C
45%
21°C
45%
22°C
26%
23°C
32%
24°C
41%
25°C
46%
26°C
45%
27°C
2%
28°C
47%
29°C or higher
9%
28°C 47%
25°C 46%
20°C 45%
21°C 45%
19°C or below
12%
20°C
45%
21°C
45%
22°C
26%
23°C
32%
24°C
41%
25°C
46%
26°C
45%
27°C
2%
28°C
47%
29°C or higher
9%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 3, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources including the Met Office, WindBorne, and regional guidance indicate an overnight minimum of 24–25°C for Busan on September 5, supported by persistent northeasterly flow advecting mild maritime air and limited nocturnal radiative cooling under partly cloudy conditions. This aligns with early-September climatology, where typical lows range 21–24°C amid a gradual seasonal decline. Trader emphasis on 24°C (42.5%) and 23°C (32.5%) as leading outcomes reflects model consensus on stable temperatures with low precipitation risk, while lower probabilities for 22°C or below incorporate minor uncertainty in cloud cover and wind speed that could enhance cooling. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 24 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp