National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago on August 21 point to an overnight low near 64°F, moderated by Lake Michigan's influence and light winds that limit radiational cooling. Recent model consensus shows limited spread around this value, with historical August normals near 65°F providing context, though variable cloud cover and subtle shifts in lake-breeze patterns could nudge the minimum a degree or two lower or higher. Trader odds cluster tightly across the 56–67°F range, reflecting this narrow uncertainty band rather than strong directional signals, as official observations at O'Hare and Midway will resolve the market based on the precise 24-hour minimum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Chicago on August 21?
60-61°F 30%
62-63°F 29%
58-59°F 29%
64-65°F 28%
51°F or below
1%
52-53°F
6%
54-55°F
27%
56-57°F
27%
58-59°F
29%
60-61°F
30%
62-63°F
29%
64-65°F
28%
66-67°F
27%
68-69°F
13%
70°F or higher
<1%
60-61°F 30%
62-63°F 29%
58-59°F 29%
64-65°F 28%
51°F or below
1%
52-53°F
6%
54-55°F
27%
56-57°F
27%
58-59°F
29%
60-61°F
30%
62-63°F
29%
64-65°F
28%
66-67°F
27%
68-69°F
13%
70°F or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 20, 2026, 1:28 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago on August 21 point to an overnight low near 64°F, moderated by Lake Michigan's influence and light winds that limit radiational cooling. Recent model consensus shows limited spread around this value, with historical August normals near 65°F providing context, though variable cloud cover and subtle shifts in lake-breeze patterns could nudge the minimum a degree or two lower or higher. Trader odds cluster tightly across the 56–67°F range, reflecting this narrow uncertainty band rather than strong directional signals, as official observations at O'Hare and Midway will resolve the market based on the precise 24-hour minimum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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