**Trader consensus heavily favors 27°C as the lowest temperature in Guangzhou on August 21, 2026, at 98.5% implied probability.** This positioning aligns with official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and multiple meteorological sources projecting a minimum of 26–27°C under cloudy, humid subtropical conditions with thunderstorms possible. Typical late-August climatology for the region features nighttime lows near 26°C due to high humidity, cloud cover, and minimal radiative cooling, with current model runs showing no significant cold-air intrusion or clear-sky episodes that would allow temperatures to fall further. The narrow spread in outcomes reflects high confidence in this range, as verified observations and ensemble forecasts converge on these values. A realistic challenge could arise from localized measurement differences at official stations or an unexpected late-day clearing that enhances cooling, though such shifts remain low-probability given persistent moisture and storm activity.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Guangzhou on August 21?
Lowest temperature in Guangzhou on August 21?
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$2,807 KL.
$2,807 KL.
Aug 21, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$2,807 KL.
$2,807 KL.
Aug 21, 2026
22°C or below
$664 KL.
No
23°C
$286 KL.
No
24°C
$249 KL.
No
25°C
$263 KL.
No
26°C
$189 KL.
No
27°C
$547 KL.
Yes
28°C
$218 KL.
No
29°C
$105 KL.
No
30°C
$95 KL.
No
31°C
$95 KL.
No
32°C or higher
$95 KL.
No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors 27°C as the lowest temperature in Guangzhou on August 21, 2026, at 98.5% implied probability.** This positioning aligns with official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and multiple meteorological sources projecting a minimum of 26–27°C under cloudy, humid subtropical conditions with thunderstorms possible. Typical late-August climatology for the region features nighttime lows near 26°C due to high humidity, cloud cover, and minimal radiative cooling, with current model runs showing no significant cold-air intrusion or clear-sky episodes that would allow temperatures to fall further. The narrow spread in outcomes reflects high confidence in this range, as verified observations and ensemble forecasts converge on these values. A realistic challenge could arise from localized measurement differences at official stations or an unexpected late-day clearing that enhances cooling, though such shifts remain low-probability given persistent moisture and storm activity.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ET
Khối lượng
$2,807Ngày kết thúc
Aug 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus heavily favors 27°C as the lowest temperature in Guangzhou on August 21, 2026, at 98.5% implied probability.** This positioning aligns with official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and multiple meteorological sources projecting a minimum of 26–27°C under cloudy, humid subtropical conditions with thunderstorms possible. Typical late-August climatology for the region features nighttime lows near 26°C due to high humidity, cloud cover, and minimal radiative cooling, with current model runs showing no significant cold-air intrusion or clear-sky episodes that would allow temperatures to fall further. The narrow spread in outcomes reflects high confidence in this range, as verified observations and ensemble forecasts converge on these values. A realistic challenge could arise from localized measurement differences at official stations or an unexpected late-day clearing that enhances cooling, though such shifts remain low-probability given persistent moisture and storm activity.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$2,807Ngày kết thúc
Aug 21, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 20, 2026, 1:31 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
**Trader consensus heavily favors 27°C as the lowest temperature in Guangzhou on August 21, 2026, at 98.5% implied probability.** This positioning aligns with official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and multiple meteorological sources projecting a minimum of 26–27°C under cloudy, humid subtropical conditions with thunderstorms possible. Typical late-August climatology for the region features nighttime lows near 26°C due to high humidity, cloud cover, and minimal radiative cooling, with current model runs showing no significant cold-air intrusion or clear-sky episodes that would allow temperatures to fall further. The narrow spread in outcomes reflects high confidence in this range, as verified observations and ensemble forecasts converge on these values. A realistic challenge could arise from localized measurement differences at official stations or an unexpected late-day clearing that enhances cooling, though such shifts remain low-probability given persistent moisture and storm activity.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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