Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance and numerical model consensus indicate overnight minima near 27°C on August 22 amid a warm, moist southwesterly flow, persistent cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Typical August climatology supports minimums of 26–28°C under similar conditions, with the current setup favoring the upper end of that range. Traders have priced 27°C highest at 41% implied probability, followed by 26°C at 26%, reflecting modest uncertainty around exact boundary-layer moisture and any brief clear spells that could allow slight additional cooling. No significant frontal passage or tropical cyclone influence is expected to alter the pattern before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 22?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 22?
27°C 42%
26°C 26%
25°C 22%
28°C 13%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 22, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
22%
26°C
26%
27°C
42%
28°C
13%
29°C
2%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 42%
26°C 26%
25°C 22%
28°C 13%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 22, 2026
22°C or below
$633 KL.
<1%
23°C
$141 KL.
1%
24°C
$166 KL.
3%
25°C
$336 KL.
22%
26°C
$308 KL.
26%
27°C
$300 KL.
42%
28°C
$531 KL.
13%
29°C
$1,132 KL.
2%
30°C
$358 KL.
1%
31°C
$501 KL.
<1%
32°C or higher
$516 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance and numerical model consensus indicate overnight minima near 27°C on August 22 amid a warm, moist southwesterly flow, persistent cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Typical August climatology supports minimums of 26–28°C under similar conditions, with the current setup favoring the upper end of that range. Traders have priced 27°C highest at 41% implied probability, followed by 26°C at 26%, reflecting modest uncertainty around exact boundary-layer moisture and any brief clear spells that could allow slight additional cooling. No significant frontal passage or tropical cyclone influence is expected to alter the pattern before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Khối lượng
$4,839Ngày kết thúc
Aug 22, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance and numerical model consensus indicate overnight minima near 27°C on August 22 amid a warm, moist southwesterly flow, persistent cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Typical August climatology supports minimums of 26–28°C under similar conditions, with the current setup favoring the upper end of that range. Traders have priced 27°C highest at 41% implied probability, followed by 26°C at 26%, reflecting modest uncertainty around exact boundary-layer moisture and any brief clear spells that could allow slight additional cooling. No significant frontal passage or tropical cyclone influence is expected to alter the pattern before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$4,839Ngày kết thúc
Aug 22, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Hong Kong Observatory guidance and numerical model consensus indicate overnight minima near 27°C on August 22 amid a warm, moist southwesterly flow, persistent cloud cover, and scattered showers that limit nocturnal radiative cooling. Typical August climatology supports minimums of 26–28°C under similar conditions, with the current setup favoring the upper end of that range. Traders have priced 27°C highest at 41% implied probability, followed by 26°C at 26%, reflecting modest uncertainty around exact boundary-layer moisture and any brief clear spells that could allow slight additional cooling. No significant frontal passage or tropical cyclone influence is expected to alter the pattern before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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