The market-implied odds overwhelmingly favor 25°C as Hong Kong’s lowest temperature on May 15 because official Hong Kong Observatory data recorded a minimum of exactly that value overnight under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions. Mid-May climatology typically produces nighttime lows of 24–26°C, and no cold-air intrusions or enhanced cloud cover altered the expected diurnal range. Traders therefore treat the observatory’s verified reading as the decisive resolution criterion, leaving only negligible room for alternative outcomes. Minor station-to-station differences remain possible but are unlikely to shift the official minimum outside the 25°C threshold once final quality-controlled values are released.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 15?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on May 15?
25°C 99.9%
18°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
26°C <1%
$63,971 KL.
$63,971 KL.
May 15, 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
100%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
<1%
25°C 99.9%
18°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
26°C <1%
$63,971 KL.
$63,971 KL.
May 15, 2026
18°C or below
$2,541 KL.
<1%
19°C
$2,325 KL.
<1%
20°C
$2,408 KL.
<1%
21°C
$2,288 KL.
<1%
22°C
$3,899 KL.
<1%
23°C
$5,193 KL.
<1%
24°C
$12,287 KL.
<1%
25°C
$8,673 KL.
100%
26°C
$12,015 KL.
<1%
27°C
$8,229 KL.
<1%
28°C or higher
$4,112 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market-implied odds overwhelmingly favor 25°C as Hong Kong’s lowest temperature on May 15 because official Hong Kong Observatory data recorded a minimum of exactly that value overnight under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions. Mid-May climatology typically produces nighttime lows of 24–26°C, and no cold-air intrusions or enhanced cloud cover altered the expected diurnal range. Traders therefore treat the observatory’s verified reading as the decisive resolution criterion, leaving only negligible room for alternative outcomes. Minor station-to-station differences remain possible but are unlikely to shift the official minimum outside the 25°C threshold once final quality-controlled values are released.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ET
Khối lượng
$63,971Ngày kết thúc
May 15, 2026Thị trường mở
May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The market-implied odds overwhelmingly favor 25°C as Hong Kong’s lowest temperature on May 15 because official Hong Kong Observatory data recorded a minimum of exactly that value overnight under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions. Mid-May climatology typically produces nighttime lows of 24–26°C, and no cold-air intrusions or enhanced cloud cover altered the expected diurnal range. Traders therefore treat the observatory’s verified reading as the decisive resolution criterion, leaving only negligible room for alternative outcomes. Minor station-to-station differences remain possible but are unlikely to shift the official minimum outside the 25°C threshold once final quality-controlled values are released.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$63,971Ngày kết thúc
May 15, 2026Thị trường mở
May 11, 2026, 7:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The market-implied odds overwhelmingly favor 25°C as Hong Kong’s lowest temperature on May 15 because official Hong Kong Observatory data recorded a minimum of exactly that value overnight under stable subtropical high-pressure conditions. Mid-May climatology typically produces nighttime lows of 24–26°C, and no cold-air intrusions or enhanced cloud cover altered the expected diurnal range. Traders therefore treat the observatory’s verified reading as the decisive resolution criterion, leaving only negligible room for alternative outcomes. Minor station-to-station differences remain possible but are unlikely to shift the official minimum outside the 25°C threshold once final quality-controlled values are released.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp