Forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and Turkish meteorological sources point to overnight lows of 21–23°C in Istanbul on August 21 under stable high pressure, light northeast winds of 5–8 m/s, and partly cloudy skies. These conditions promote moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs near 28–29°C, with dew points around 19–21°C limiting further temperature drops. Minor differences among leading outcomes stem from small variations in cloud cover affecting longwave radiation loss and localized urban heat effects versus airport measurements. Historical August minima average near 20°C, but current model consensus shows low divergence, sustaining the tight clustering of trader-implied probabilities around 21–23°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Istanbul on August 21?
18°C 59%
19°C 59%
21°C 35%
23°C 34%
17°C or below
33%
18°C
59%
19°C
59%
20°C
31%
21°C
35%
22°C
34%
23°C
34%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
18°C 59%
19°C 59%
21°C 35%
23°C 34%
17°C or below
33%
18°C
59%
19°C
59%
20°C
31%
21°C
35%
22°C
34%
23°C
34%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 20, 2026, 1:30 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and Turkish meteorological sources point to overnight lows of 21–23°C in Istanbul on August 21 under stable high pressure, light northeast winds of 5–8 m/s, and partly cloudy skies. These conditions promote moderate radiative cooling after daytime highs near 28–29°C, with dew points around 19–21°C limiting further temperature drops. Minor differences among leading outcomes stem from small variations in cloud cover affecting longwave radiation loss and localized urban heat effects versus airport measurements. Historical August minima average near 20°C, but current model consensus shows low divergence, sustaining the tight clustering of trader-implied probabilities around 21–23°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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