**Stable atmospheric conditions and consistent forecast model runs from sources like GFS underpin the closely matched market odds around 24–28°C for Karachi’s August 31 minimum temperature.** Prevailing southwest monsoon winds from the Arabian Sea maintain high humidity (70–90%) and moderate cooling, preventing sharp nocturnal drops typical of inland areas. Recent observations show late-August lows clustering near 26–27°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds (15–20 mph), aligning with climatological baselines. No incoming troughs or sea-surface anomalies are expected to shift this pattern before resolution, though minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover keeps probabilities distributed across the 24–28°C outcomes. Traders appear to weigh the narrow historical variability against the two-day forecast horizon.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Karachi on August 31?
31°C or higher 69%
24°C 49%
25°C 49%
28°C 49%
21°C or below
29%
22°C
19%
23°C
26%
24°C
49%
25°C
49%
26°C
26%
27°C
26%
28°C
49%
29°C
49%
30°C
19%
31°C or higher
69%
31°C or higher 69%
24°C 49%
25°C 49%
28°C 49%
21°C or below
29%
22°C
19%
23°C
26%
24°C
49%
25°C
49%
26°C
26%
27°C
26%
28°C
49%
29°C
49%
30°C
19%
31°C or higher
69%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 29, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**Stable atmospheric conditions and consistent forecast model runs from sources like GFS underpin the closely matched market odds around 24–28°C for Karachi’s August 31 minimum temperature.** Prevailing southwest monsoon winds from the Arabian Sea maintain high humidity (70–90%) and moderate cooling, preventing sharp nocturnal drops typical of inland areas. Recent observations show late-August lows clustering near 26–27°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds (15–20 mph), aligning with climatological baselines. No incoming troughs or sea-surface anomalies are expected to shift this pattern before resolution, though minor model spread in boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover keeps probabilities distributed across the 24–28°C outcomes. Traders appear to weigh the narrow historical variability against the two-day forecast horizon.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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