Recent Met Office forecasts and ensemble model runs point to a daily minimum temperature of 17–18°C in London on June 18, keeping the market tightly balanced between the 16°C and 17°C outcomes. Clear to partly cloudy skies overnight, light winds, and residual warmth from a preceding high-pressure period limit radiational cooling, while London’s urban heat island effect further supports minima near or slightly above seasonal norms of 12–14°C. Minor variations in cloud timing or boundary-layer moisture could shift the low by 1°C either way, explaining the near-even split in trader probabilities ahead of final observational data from official stations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in London on June 18?
Lowest temperature in London on June 18?
17°C 45%
16°C 40%
18°C 5.8%
15°C 4.2%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 18, 2026
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
4%
16°C
40%
17°C
45%
18°C
6%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C or higher
<1%
17°C 45%
16°C 40%
18°C 5.8%
15°C 4.2%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 18, 2026
12°C or below
$405 KL.
<1%
13°C
$694 KL.
1%
14°C
$73 KL.
<1%
15°C
$15 KL.
4%
16°C
$195 KL.
40%
17°C
$64 KL.
45%
18°C
$126 KL.
6%
19°C
$41 KL.
1%
20°C
$65 KL.
1%
21°C
$505 KL.
1%
22°C or higher
$200 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts and ensemble model runs point to a daily minimum temperature of 17–18°C in London on June 18, keeping the market tightly balanced between the 16°C and 17°C outcomes. Clear to partly cloudy skies overnight, light winds, and residual warmth from a preceding high-pressure period limit radiational cooling, while London’s urban heat island effect further supports minima near or slightly above seasonal norms of 12–14°C. Minor variations in cloud timing or boundary-layer moisture could shift the low by 1°C either way, explaining the near-even split in trader probabilities ahead of final observational data from official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$2,383Ngày kết thúc
Jun 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office forecasts and ensemble model runs point to a daily minimum temperature of 17–18°C in London on June 18, keeping the market tightly balanced between the 16°C and 17°C outcomes. Clear to partly cloudy skies overnight, light winds, and residual warmth from a preceding high-pressure period limit radiational cooling, while London’s urban heat island effect further supports minima near or slightly above seasonal norms of 12–14°C. Minor variations in cloud timing or boundary-layer moisture could shift the low by 1°C either way, explaining the near-even split in trader probabilities ahead of final observational data from official stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$2,383Ngày kết thúc
Jun 18, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office forecasts and ensemble model runs point to a daily minimum temperature of 17–18°C in London on June 18, keeping the market tightly balanced between the 16°C and 17°C outcomes. Clear to partly cloudy skies overnight, light winds, and residual warmth from a preceding high-pressure period limit radiational cooling, while London’s urban heat island effect further supports minima near or slightly above seasonal norms of 12–14°C. Minor variations in cloud timing or boundary-layer moisture could shift the low by 1°C either way, explaining the near-even split in trader probabilities ahead of final observational data from official stations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp