Recent forecasts indicate an intensifying heatwave across northern France, with models from MeteoArt and Meteored projecting daytime highs near 37°C in Paris on June 19 and overnight lows around 23°C. This elevated minimum stems from persistent high pressure suppressing nocturnal cooling and advecting warmer air masses, shifting trader focus toward the 23°C outcome now at 36.5% implied probability. Historical June lows average near 13–14°C, underscoring how anomalous current conditions appear. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact minimum before resolution, with any southward shift in the thermal ridge potentially allowing slightly cooler readings near 22°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Paris on June 19?
Lowest temperature in Paris on June 19?
23°C 36%
22°C 25%
19°C or below 18%
21°C 17%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 19, 2026
19°C or below
18%
20°C
8%
21°C
17%
22°C
25%
23°C
36%
24°C
11%
25°C
5%
26°C
5%
27°C
5%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
1%
23°C 36%
22°C 25%
19°C or below 18%
21°C 17%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 19, 2026
19°C or below
$10 KL.
18%
20°C
$16 KL.
8%
21°C
$17 KL.
17%
22°C
$14 KL.
25%
23°C
$51 KL.
36%
24°C
$56 KL.
11%
25°C
$0 KL.
5%
26°C
$0 KL.
5%
27°C
$77 KL.
5%
28°C
$459 KL.
1%
29°C or higher
$0 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts indicate an intensifying heatwave across northern France, with models from MeteoArt and Meteored projecting daytime highs near 37°C in Paris on June 19 and overnight lows around 23°C. This elevated minimum stems from persistent high pressure suppressing nocturnal cooling and advecting warmer air masses, shifting trader focus toward the 23°C outcome now at 36.5% implied probability. Historical June lows average near 13–14°C, underscoring how anomalous current conditions appear. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact minimum before resolution, with any southward shift in the thermal ridge potentially allowing slightly cooler readings near 22°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$699Ngày kết thúc
Jun 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts indicate an intensifying heatwave across northern France, with models from MeteoArt and Meteored projecting daytime highs near 37°C in Paris on June 19 and overnight lows around 23°C. This elevated minimum stems from persistent high pressure suppressing nocturnal cooling and advecting warmer air masses, shifting trader focus toward the 23°C outcome now at 36.5% implied probability. Historical June lows average near 13–14°C, underscoring how anomalous current conditions appear. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact minimum before resolution, with any southward shift in the thermal ridge potentially allowing slightly cooler readings near 22°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$699Ngày kết thúc
Jun 19, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts indicate an intensifying heatwave across northern France, with models from MeteoArt and Meteored projecting daytime highs near 37°C in Paris on June 19 and overnight lows around 23°C. This elevated minimum stems from persistent high pressure suppressing nocturnal cooling and advecting warmer air masses, shifting trader focus toward the 23°C outcome now at 36.5% implied probability. Historical June lows average near 13–14°C, underscoring how anomalous current conditions appear. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will likely refine the exact minimum before resolution, with any southward shift in the thermal ridge potentially allowing slightly cooler readings near 22°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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