Trader consensus centers on 13°C and 14°C as the most likely minimum overnight low for London on September 12, reflecting the latest Met Office and ensemble model guidance showing radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds. These conditions favor efficient heat loss after daytime highs near 24°C, though slight variations in cloud cover, dew point, and boundary-layer mixing can shift the exact nadir by 1–2°C. Historical September averages near 11–13°C provide context, while the tight spread between leading outcomes highlights remaining forecast uncertainty ahead of final model updates and observational adjustments over the next 48 hours.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in London on September 12?
Lowest temperature in London on September 12?
13°C 37%
14°C 34%
11°C 20%
12°C 16%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 12, 2026
8°C or below
2%
9°C
2%
10°C
4%
11°C
20%
12°C
16%
13°C
28%
14°C
34%
15°C
10%
16°C
10%
17°C
3%
18°C or higher
2%
13°C 37%
14°C 34%
11°C 20%
12°C 16%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 12, 2026
8°C or below
$0 KL.
2%
9°C
$0 KL.
2%
10°C
$0 KL.
4%
11°C
$0 KL.
20%
12°C
$138 KL.
16%
13°C
$296 KL.
28%
14°C
$169 KL.
34%
15°C
$105 KL.
10%
16°C
$16 KL.
10%
17°C
$0 KL.
3%
18°C or higher
$0 KL.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on 13°C and 14°C as the most likely minimum overnight low for London on September 12, reflecting the latest Met Office and ensemble model guidance showing radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds. These conditions favor efficient heat loss after daytime highs near 24°C, though slight variations in cloud cover, dew point, and boundary-layer mixing can shift the exact nadir by 1–2°C. Historical September averages near 11–13°C provide context, while the tight spread between leading outcomes highlights remaining forecast uncertainty ahead of final model updates and observational adjustments over the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$724Ngày kết thúc
Sep 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus centers on 13°C and 14°C as the most likely minimum overnight low for London on September 12, reflecting the latest Met Office and ensemble model guidance showing radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds. These conditions favor efficient heat loss after daytime highs near 24°C, though slight variations in cloud cover, dew point, and boundary-layer mixing can shift the exact nadir by 1–2°C. Historical September averages near 11–13°C provide context, while the tight spread between leading outcomes highlights remaining forecast uncertainty ahead of final model updates and observational adjustments over the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$724Ngày kết thúc
Sep 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus centers on 13°C and 14°C as the most likely minimum overnight low for London on September 12, reflecting the latest Met Office and ensemble model guidance showing radiative cooling under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light southwesterly winds. These conditions favor efficient heat loss after daytime highs near 24°C, though slight variations in cloud cover, dew point, and boundary-layer mixing can shift the exact nadir by 1–2°C. Historical September averages near 11–13°C provide context, while the tight spread between leading outcomes highlights remaining forecast uncertainty ahead of final model updates and observational adjustments over the next 48 hours.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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