Recent forecast model runs from agencies like the Met Office and ECMWF show Madrid's minimum temperature on August 25 likely settling near 17–18°C amid a gradual seasonal decline from peak summer warmth, though ensemble spreads allow for either a warmer night above 20°C or a cooler one dipping to 15°C or lower. High-pressure dominance and light winds limit nocturnal cooling or heat retention, while soil moisture from earlier dry conditions and the city's urban heat island effect add variability to boundary-layer temperatures. With the event just 48 hours away, incoming satellite and radiosonde data will tighten guidance on whether Atlantic flow or residual subtropical air prevails, directly influencing trader consensus around these tightly matched outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Madrid on August 25?
25°C or higher 85%
23°C 45%
24°C 45%
15°C or below 42%
15°C or below
42%
16°C
27%
17°C
30%
18°C
29%
19°C
26%
20°C
23%
21°C
24%
22°C
5%
23°C
45%
24°C
45%
25°C or higher
85%
25°C or higher 85%
23°C 45%
24°C 45%
15°C or below 42%
15°C or below
42%
16°C
27%
17°C
30%
18°C
29%
19°C
26%
20°C
23%
21°C
24%
22°C
5%
23°C
45%
24°C
45%
25°C or higher
85%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 23, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from agencies like the Met Office and ECMWF show Madrid's minimum temperature on August 25 likely settling near 17–18°C amid a gradual seasonal decline from peak summer warmth, though ensemble spreads allow for either a warmer night above 20°C or a cooler one dipping to 15°C or lower. High-pressure dominance and light winds limit nocturnal cooling or heat retention, while soil moisture from earlier dry conditions and the city's urban heat island effect add variability to boundary-layer temperatures. With the event just 48 hours away, incoming satellite and radiosonde data will tighten guidance on whether Atlantic flow or residual subtropical air prevails, directly influencing trader consensus around these tightly matched outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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