Recent model consensus from sources including international weather services points to overnight lows near 12–13°C for Mexico City on August 24, consistent with the city’s 2,240 m elevation and peak rainy-season conditions featuring persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and frequent thunderstorms that limit daytime heating while influencing nocturnal radiative cooling. Historical August averages hover around 12°C, with recent observed minima of 12–14°C amid above-normal precipitation. Trader emphasis on 9°C or below likely reflects uncertainty in high-resolution model runs and potential for localized cold-air pooling or stronger-than-expected northerly flow, though forecast updates from monitoring agencies in coming hours remain the key near-term driver of implied probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Mexico City on August 24?
9°C or below 79%
19°C or higher 48%
14°C 22%
13°C 20%
9°C or below
79%
10°C
12%
11°C
12%
12°C
13%
13°C
20%
14°C
22%
15°C
20%
16°C
12%
17°C
8%
18°C
13%
19°C or higher
48%
9°C or below 79%
19°C or higher 48%
14°C 22%
13°C 20%
9°C or below
79%
10°C
12%
11°C
12%
12°C
13%
13°C
20%
14°C
22%
15°C
20%
16°C
12%
17°C
8%
18°C
13%
19°C or higher
48%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 22, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmxResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from sources including international weather services points to overnight lows near 12–13°C for Mexico City on August 24, consistent with the city’s 2,240 m elevation and peak rainy-season conditions featuring persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and frequent thunderstorms that limit daytime heating while influencing nocturnal radiative cooling. Historical August averages hover around 12°C, with recent observed minima of 12–14°C amid above-normal precipitation. Trader emphasis on 9°C or below likely reflects uncertainty in high-resolution model runs and potential for localized cold-air pooling or stronger-than-expected northerly flow, though forecast updates from monitoring agencies in coming hours remain the key near-term driver of implied probabilities.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật


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