Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate minimum temperatures in Milan on September 17 will likely fall between 17°C and 19°C, driven by widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and easterly flow limiting overnight radiative cooling. These conditions, associated with a passing low-pressure system, suppress the typical clear-sky drops seen in mid-September climatology and keep surface readings elevated into the early morning hours. Trader emphasis on the 23°C-or-higher bin reflects uncertainty over how much daytime heating and lingering moisture could raise the daily minimum, while probabilities clustered around 16–19°C capture the consensus range from official guidance. Updated model runs and any clearing trends before midnight will be the key near-term catalysts for shifts in implied odds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Milan on September 17?
23°C or higher 85%
20°C 39%
21°C 39%
13°C or below 25%
13°C or below
25%
14°C
18%
15°C
21%
16°C
23%
17°C
22%
18°C
25%
19°C
22%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C
17%
23°C or higher
85%
23°C or higher 85%
20°C 39%
21°C 39%
13°C or below 25%
13°C or below
25%
14°C
18%
15°C
21%
16°C
23%
17°C
22%
18°C
25%
19°C
22%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C
17%
23°C or higher
85%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 15, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate minimum temperatures in Milan on September 17 will likely fall between 17°C and 19°C, driven by widespread cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and easterly flow limiting overnight radiative cooling. These conditions, associated with a passing low-pressure system, suppress the typical clear-sky drops seen in mid-September climatology and keep surface readings elevated into the early morning hours. Trader emphasis on the 23°C-or-higher bin reflects uncertainty over how much daytime heating and lingering moisture could raise the daily minimum, while probabilities clustered around 16–19°C capture the consensus range from official guidance. Updated model runs and any clearing trends before midnight will be the key near-term catalysts for shifts in implied odds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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