Current ensemble forecasts for Milan indicate a frontal system and associated cloud cover may moderate overnight radiative cooling on September 15–16, keeping the daily minimum near 15–19 °C, yet model spread leaves room for either stronger northerly advection (pushing lows to 13 °C or below) or clearer skies that retain warmth above 23 °C. Historical September minima average 12–16 °C, but recent ECMWF and GFS runs diverge on boundary-layer moisture and wind speed, directly affecting the probability mass traders have assigned across the 18–22 °C range. Updated model cycles and Italian Meteorological Service guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow this uncertainty before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Milan on September 16?
13°C or below 100%
23°C or higher 96%
19°C 40%
14°C 39%
13°C or below
100%
14°C
39%
15°C
39%
16°C
39%
17°C
39%
18°C
30%
19°C
40%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C or higher
96%
13°C or below 100%
23°C or higher 96%
19°C 40%
14°C 39%
13°C or below
100%
14°C
39%
15°C
39%
16°C
39%
17°C
39%
18°C
30%
19°C
40%
20°C
39%
21°C
39%
22°C
39%
23°C or higher
96%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 14, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts for Milan indicate a frontal system and associated cloud cover may moderate overnight radiative cooling on September 15–16, keeping the daily minimum near 15–19 °C, yet model spread leaves room for either stronger northerly advection (pushing lows to 13 °C or below) or clearer skies that retain warmth above 23 °C. Historical September minima average 12–16 °C, but recent ECMWF and GFS runs diverge on boundary-layer moisture and wind speed, directly affecting the probability mass traders have assigned across the 18–22 °C range. Updated model cycles and Italian Meteorological Service guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will likely narrow this uncertainty before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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