Forecast uncertainty in regional model runs creates the near-even split between warmer (18°C+) and cooler (8°C or below) minimum outcomes for Moscow on August 25. Late-August radiative cooling under clear skies could push overnight lows toward 11–13°C, consistent with recent GFS and ECMWF guidance showing highs near 18–20°C and light winds. Cloud cover or scattered showers, however, would limit cooling and support higher minima, while any northerly flow or drier air mass could allow sharper drops. Official observations from the Moscow station will resolve the market using the daily minimum on the 24-hour period ending 23:59 local time. Updated model consensus and any shifts in the 48-hour steering pattern remain the key near-term catalysts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Moscow on August 25?
18°C or higher 96%
15°C 52%
16°C 52%
17°C 52%
8°C or below
49%
9°C
27%
10°C
27%
11°C
27%
12°C
27%
13°C
27%
14°C
27%
15°C
52%
16°C
52%
17°C
52%
18°C or higher
96%
18°C or higher 96%
15°C 52%
16°C 52%
17°C 52%
8°C or below
49%
9°C
27%
10°C
27%
11°C
27%
12°C
27%
13°C
27%
14°C
27%
15°C
52%
16°C
52%
17°C
52%
18°C or higher
96%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 23, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast uncertainty in regional model runs creates the near-even split between warmer (18°C+) and cooler (8°C or below) minimum outcomes for Moscow on August 25. Late-August radiative cooling under clear skies could push overnight lows toward 11–13°C, consistent with recent GFS and ECMWF guidance showing highs near 18–20°C and light winds. Cloud cover or scattered showers, however, would limit cooling and support higher minima, while any northerly flow or drier air mass could allow sharper drops. Official observations from the Moscow station will resolve the market using the daily minimum on the 24-hour period ending 23:59 local time. Updated model consensus and any shifts in the 48-hour steering pattern remain the key near-term catalysts.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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