Forecast models from agencies including the German Weather Service and global ensembles like GFS project clear skies and light westerly winds over Munich on August 29, 2026, promoting strong nocturnal radiative cooling that should drive the overnight minimum to 10 °C or below. This aligns with the historical average low of roughly 12.7 °C for the date and recent observational trends of cooler late-summer nights under similar high-pressure setups. Trader consensus at 95 % implied probability for ≤10 °C reflects these consistent model outputs and the absence of significant warm-air advection. A sudden increase in cloud cover or stronger southerly flow could limit cooling and push the low above 10 °C, though current guidance shows low odds of that shift before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Munich on August 29?
10°C or below 99.8%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$10,091 KL.
$10,091 KL.
10°C or below
95%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
10°C or below 99.8%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$10,091 KL.
$10,091 KL.
10°C or below
95%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including the German Weather Service and global ensembles like GFS project clear skies and light westerly winds over Munich on August 29, 2026, promoting strong nocturnal radiative cooling that should drive the overnight minimum to 10 °C or below. This aligns with the historical average low of roughly 12.7 °C for the date and recent observational trends of cooler late-summer nights under similar high-pressure setups. Trader consensus at 95 % implied probability for ≤10 °C reflects these consistent model outputs and the absence of significant warm-air advection. A sudden increase in cloud cover or stronger southerly flow could limit cooling and push the low above 10 °C, though current guidance shows low odds of that shift before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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