**Latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance for Central Park, the official NYC measurement site, center the overnight low for August 24 around 65°F under clear skies and light westerly winds.** This setup favors strong radiative cooling after daytime highs near 80°F, with low dew points limiting moisture retention and minimal cloud cover enhancing heat loss to space. The 66-67°F bin leads market-implied odds at 38% because most runs cluster there, while the tight spread to 68-69°F (30.5%) and 64-65°F (19.5%) reflects minor sensitivities to boundary-layer mixing, exact wind speeds, and the urban heat island effect that can add 1–2°F locally. Traders weigh these against historical August climatology, where mid-60s lows are typical under post-frontal high pressure, and await any final model updates or observations before the 24-hour period closes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in NYC on August 24?
Lowest temperature in NYC on August 24?
66-67°F 39%
68-69°F 35%
64-65°F 20%
62-63°F 5%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 24, 2026
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
5%
64-65°F
20%
66-67°F
39%
68-69°F
35%
70-71°F
5%
72-73°F
1%
74°F or higher
1%
66-67°F 39%
68-69°F 35%
64-65°F 20%
62-63°F 5%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 24, 2026
55°F or below
$263 KL.
<1%
56-57°F
$225 KL.
<1%
58-59°F
$398 KL.
<1%
60-61°F
$680 KL.
1%
62-63°F
$190 KL.
5%
64-65°F
$128 KL.
20%
66-67°F
$312 KL.
39%
68-69°F
$258 KL.
35%
70-71°F
$388 KL.
5%
72-73°F
$229 KL.
1%
74°F or higher
$65 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance for Central Park, the official NYC measurement site, center the overnight low for August 24 around 65°F under clear skies and light westerly winds.** This setup favors strong radiative cooling after daytime highs near 80°F, with low dew points limiting moisture retention and minimal cloud cover enhancing heat loss to space. The 66-67°F bin leads market-implied odds at 38% because most runs cluster there, while the tight spread to 68-69°F (30.5%) and 64-65°F (19.5%) reflects minor sensitivities to boundary-layer mixing, exact wind speeds, and the urban heat island effect that can add 1–2°F locally. Traders weigh these against historical August climatology, where mid-60s lows are typical under post-frontal high pressure, and await any final model updates or observations before the 24-hour period closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ET
Khối lượng
$3,137Ngày kết thúc
Aug 24, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance for Central Park, the official NYC measurement site, center the overnight low for August 24 around 65°F under clear skies and light westerly winds.** This setup favors strong radiative cooling after daytime highs near 80°F, with low dew points limiting moisture retention and minimal cloud cover enhancing heat loss to space. The 66-67°F bin leads market-implied odds at 38% because most runs cluster there, while the tight spread to 68-69°F (30.5%) and 64-65°F (19.5%) reflects minor sensitivities to boundary-layer mixing, exact wind speeds, and the urban heat island effect that can add 1–2°F locally. Traders weigh these against historical August climatology, where mid-60s lows are typical under post-frontal high pressure, and await any final model updates or observations before the 24-hour period closes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$3,137Ngày kết thúc
Aug 24, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 22, 2026, 9:29 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Latest National Weather Service forecasts and ensemble model guidance for Central Park, the official NYC measurement site, center the overnight low for August 24 around 65°F under clear skies and light westerly winds.** This setup favors strong radiative cooling after daytime highs near 80°F, with low dew points limiting moisture retention and minimal cloud cover enhancing heat loss to space. The 66-67°F bin leads market-implied odds at 38% because most runs cluster there, while the tight spread to 68-69°F (30.5%) and 64-65°F (19.5%) reflects minor sensitivities to boundary-layer mixing, exact wind speeds, and the urban heat island effect that can add 1–2°F locally. Traders weigh these against historical August climatology, where mid-60s lows are typical under post-frontal high pressure, and await any final model updates or observations before the 24-hour period closes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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