Recent high-resolution GFS and ECMWF model runs, updated on September 9, point to a minimum temperature near 11°C overnight into September 10 under clear to partly cloudy skies and light northwesterly flow, with surface radiative cooling favored by high pressure near 1020 hPa. Ensemble spreads introduce modest uncertainty around dawn minimums, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 8°C and 10°C while keeping lower probabilities on 7°C or below. Historical September climatology for Paris shows an average low of 12.1°C, so current guidance reflects a slightly cooler-than-normal night without significant cold advection. Final resolution hinges on official Météo-France station readings at Paris-Montsouris or Le Bourget, with the next model update cycle likely to refine the exact threshold.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Paris on September 10?
Lowest temperature in Paris on September 10?
9°C 39%
8°C 33%
7°C or below 17%
10°C 14%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 10, 2026
7°C or below
17%
8°C
33%
9°C
39%
10°C
14%
11°C
5%
12°C
5%
13°C
3%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
1%
17°C or higher
2%
9°C 39%
8°C 33%
7°C or below 17%
10°C 14%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 10, 2026
7°C or below
$300 KL.
17%
8°C
$682 KL.
33%
9°C
$997 KL.
39%
10°C
$264 KL.
14%
11°C
$231 KL.
5%
12°C
$188 KL.
5%
13°C
$381 KL.
3%
14°C
$142 KL.
1%
15°C
$25 KL.
2%
16°C
$85 KL.
1%
17°C or higher
$25 KL.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent high-resolution GFS and ECMWF model runs, updated on September 9, point to a minimum temperature near 11°C overnight into September 10 under clear to partly cloudy skies and light northwesterly flow, with surface radiative cooling favored by high pressure near 1020 hPa. Ensemble spreads introduce modest uncertainty around dawn minimums, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 8°C and 10°C while keeping lower probabilities on 7°C or below. Historical September climatology for Paris shows an average low of 12.1°C, so current guidance reflects a slightly cooler-than-normal night without significant cold advection. Final resolution hinges on official Météo-France station readings at Paris-Montsouris or Le Bourget, with the next model update cycle likely to refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$3,321Ngày kết thúc
Sep 10, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent high-resolution GFS and ECMWF model runs, updated on September 9, point to a minimum temperature near 11°C overnight into September 10 under clear to partly cloudy skies and light northwesterly flow, with surface radiative cooling favored by high pressure near 1020 hPa. Ensemble spreads introduce modest uncertainty around dawn minimums, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 8°C and 10°C while keeping lower probabilities on 7°C or below. Historical September climatology for Paris shows an average low of 12.1°C, so current guidance reflects a slightly cooler-than-normal night without significant cold advection. Final resolution hinges on official Météo-France station readings at Paris-Montsouris or Le Bourget, with the next model update cycle likely to refine the exact threshold.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$3,321Ngày kết thúc
Sep 10, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 8, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent high-resolution GFS and ECMWF model runs, updated on September 9, point to a minimum temperature near 11°C overnight into September 10 under clear to partly cloudy skies and light northwesterly flow, with surface radiative cooling favored by high pressure near 1020 hPa. Ensemble spreads introduce modest uncertainty around dawn minimums, supporting the tight clustering of market-implied odds between 8°C and 10°C while keeping lower probabilities on 7°C or below. Historical September climatology for Paris shows an average low of 12.1°C, so current guidance reflects a slightly cooler-than-normal night without significant cold advection. Final resolution hinges on official Météo-France station readings at Paris-Montsouris or Le Bourget, with the next model update cycle likely to refine the exact threshold.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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