Forecast consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles points to overnight lows near 12–13 °C in Paris on September 11, driven by persistent cloud cover, light southerly flow, and weak pressure gradients that limit radiational cooling. These conditions contrast with clearer, calmer setups that historically allow minima several degrees lower, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 11–13 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest, reflecting model agreement on mild advection rather than strong nocturnal cooling, though small shifts in cloud timing or boundary-layer moisture could still adjust the exact minimum recorded at official stations. Updated model runs overnight will provide the final guidance before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Paris on September 11?
Lowest temperature in Paris on September 11?
12°C 35%
10°C or below 33%
13°C 30%
11°C 26%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 11, 2026
10°C or below
33%
11°C
26%
12°C
35%
13°C
30%
14°C
7%
15°C
5%
16°C
5%
17°C
2%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C or higher
1%
12°C 35%
10°C or below 33%
13°C 30%
11°C 26%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 11, 2026
10°C or below
$0 KL.
33%
11°C
$338 KL.
26%
12°C
$746 KL.
35%
13°C
$1,065 KL.
30%
14°C
$594 KL.
7%
15°C
$87 KL.
5%
16°C
$159 KL.
5%
17°C
$258 KL.
2%
18°C
$59 KL.
<1%
19°C
$45 KL.
1%
20°C or higher
$50 KL.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles points to overnight lows near 12–13 °C in Paris on September 11, driven by persistent cloud cover, light southerly flow, and weak pressure gradients that limit radiational cooling. These conditions contrast with clearer, calmer setups that historically allow minima several degrees lower, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 11–13 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest, reflecting model agreement on mild advection rather than strong nocturnal cooling, though small shifts in cloud timing or boundary-layer moisture could still adjust the exact minimum recorded at official stations. Updated model runs overnight will provide the final guidance before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$3,401Ngày kết thúc
Sep 11, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles points to overnight lows near 12–13 °C in Paris on September 11, driven by persistent cloud cover, light southerly flow, and weak pressure gradients that limit radiational cooling. These conditions contrast with clearer, calmer setups that historically allow minima several degrees lower, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 11–13 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest, reflecting model agreement on mild advection rather than strong nocturnal cooling, though small shifts in cloud timing or boundary-layer moisture could still adjust the exact minimum recorded at official stations. Updated model runs overnight will provide the final guidance before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$3,401Ngày kết thúc
Sep 11, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 9, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles points to overnight lows near 12–13 °C in Paris on September 11, driven by persistent cloud cover, light southerly flow, and weak pressure gradients that limit radiational cooling. These conditions contrast with clearer, calmer setups that historically allow minima several degrees lower, aligning with the market’s tight clustering around 11–13 °C. Ensemble spreads remain modest, reflecting model agreement on mild advection rather than strong nocturnal cooling, though small shifts in cloud timing or boundary-layer moisture could still adjust the exact minimum recorded at official stations. Updated model runs overnight will provide the final guidance before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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