Recent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs indicates a minimum temperature near 13–14°C in Paris on September 12, driven by building high pressure, light northwest winds, and partly cloudy skies that permit moderate radiative cooling overnight. Dew points hovering around 11–14°C limit further drops, while the recent influx of cooler maritime air has lowered daytime maxima by several degrees. These conditions place the most probable outcome between 12°C and 13°C, with traders assigning roughly two-thirds combined probability to those bins. Slight variations in cloud cover or wind speed across ensemble members explain the tight spread, as even modest changes in boundary-layer mixing can shift the overnight low by 1°C. Updated model guidance and Météo-France briefings over the next 48 hours will refine this range ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Paris on September 12?
Lowest temperature in Paris on September 12?
12°C 38%
13°C 32%
15°C 25%
11°C 24%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 12, 2026
8°C or below
3%
9°C
19%
10°C
20%
11°C
24%
12°C
30%
13°C
32%
14°C
18%
15°C
25%
16°C
3%
17°C
3%
18°C or higher
3%
12°C 38%
13°C 32%
15°C 25%
11°C 24%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 12, 2026
8°C or below
$0 KL.
3%
9°C
$0 KL.
19%
10°C
$0 KL.
20%
11°C
$0 KL.
24%
12°C
$92 KL.
30%
13°C
$520 KL.
32%
14°C
$235 KL.
18%
15°C
$0 KL.
25%
16°C
$0 KL.
3%
17°C
$0 KL.
3%
18°C or higher
$0 KL.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs indicates a minimum temperature near 13–14°C in Paris on September 12, driven by building high pressure, light northwest winds, and partly cloudy skies that permit moderate radiative cooling overnight. Dew points hovering around 11–14°C limit further drops, while the recent influx of cooler maritime air has lowered daytime maxima by several degrees. These conditions place the most probable outcome between 12°C and 13°C, with traders assigning roughly two-thirds combined probability to those bins. Slight variations in cloud cover or wind speed across ensemble members explain the tight spread, as even modest changes in boundary-layer mixing can shift the overnight low by 1°C. Updated model guidance and Météo-France briefings over the next 48 hours will refine this range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Khối lượng
$848Ngày kết thúc
Sep 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs indicates a minimum temperature near 13–14°C in Paris on September 12, driven by building high pressure, light northwest winds, and partly cloudy skies that permit moderate radiative cooling overnight. Dew points hovering around 11–14°C limit further drops, while the recent influx of cooler maritime air has lowered daytime maxima by several degrees. These conditions place the most probable outcome between 12°C and 13°C, with traders assigning roughly two-thirds combined probability to those bins. Slight variations in cloud cover or wind speed across ensemble members explain the tight spread, as even modest changes in boundary-layer mixing can shift the overnight low by 1°C. Updated model guidance and Météo-France briefings over the next 48 hours will refine this range ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$848Ngày kết thúc
Sep 12, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 10, 2026, 12:29 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from GFS and ECMWF runs indicates a minimum temperature near 13–14°C in Paris on September 12, driven by building high pressure, light northwest winds, and partly cloudy skies that permit moderate radiative cooling overnight. Dew points hovering around 11–14°C limit further drops, while the recent influx of cooler maritime air has lowered daytime maxima by several degrees. These conditions place the most probable outcome between 12°C and 13°C, with traders assigning roughly two-thirds combined probability to those bins. Slight variations in cloud cover or wind speed across ensemble members explain the tight spread, as even modest changes in boundary-layer mixing can shift the overnight low by 1°C. Updated model guidance and Météo-France briefings over the next 48 hours will refine this range ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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