Forecast consensus from models and Brazil's INMET positions Sao Paulo's overnight low near 11–12°C on August 22 under subtropical high pressure and light winds, favoring modest radiative cooling after a warmer-than-average August. Polar air advection remains limited, with no strong cold front expected to push minima below 10°C, while urban heat island effects and variable cloud cover introduce small uncertainties that keep 11°C and 12°C probabilities nearly tied. Historical August minima average 12–14°C, and recent observations show no sharp cooling trend, supporting trader focus on these thresholds over lower or higher outcomes. Updated model runs tonight will refine the exact minimum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 22?
Lowest temperature in Sao Paulo on August 22?
11°C 53%
12°C 50%
14°C or higher 27%
13°C 26%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 22, 2026
4°C or below
1%
5°C
1%
6°C
1%
7°C
3%
8°C
19%
9°C
20%
10°C
22%
11°C
42%
12°C
43%
13°C
26%
14°C or higher
27%
11°C 53%
12°C 50%
14°C or higher 27%
13°C 26%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 22, 2026
4°C or below
$32 KL.
1%
5°C
$22 KL.
1%
6°C
$37 KL.
1%
7°C
$22 KL.
3%
8°C
$0 KL.
19%
9°C
$0 KL.
20%
10°C
$0 KL.
22%
11°C
$18 KL.
42%
12°C
$19 KL.
43%
13°C
$0 KL.
26%
14°C or higher
$0 KL.
27%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from models and Brazil's INMET positions Sao Paulo's overnight low near 11–12°C on August 22 under subtropical high pressure and light winds, favoring modest radiative cooling after a warmer-than-average August. Polar air advection remains limited, with no strong cold front expected to push minima below 10°C, while urban heat island effects and variable cloud cover introduce small uncertainties that keep 11°C and 12°C probabilities nearly tied. Historical August minima average 12–14°C, and recent observations show no sharp cooling trend, supporting trader focus on these thresholds over lower or higher outcomes. Updated model runs tonight will refine the exact minimum.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 20, 2026, 8:28 PM ET
Khối lượng
$150Ngày kết thúc
Aug 22, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 20, 2026, 8:28 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from models and Brazil's INMET positions Sao Paulo's overnight low near 11–12°C on August 22 under subtropical high pressure and light winds, favoring modest radiative cooling after a warmer-than-average August. Polar air advection remains limited, with no strong cold front expected to push minima below 10°C, while urban heat island effects and variable cloud cover introduce small uncertainties that keep 11°C and 12°C probabilities nearly tied. Historical August minima average 12–14°C, and recent observations show no sharp cooling trend, supporting trader focus on these thresholds over lower or higher outcomes. Updated model runs tonight will refine the exact minimum.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$150Ngày kết thúc
Aug 22, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 20, 2026, 8:28 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from models and Brazil's INMET positions Sao Paulo's overnight low near 11–12°C on August 22 under subtropical high pressure and light winds, favoring modest radiative cooling after a warmer-than-average August. Polar air advection remains limited, with no strong cold front expected to push minima below 10°C, while urban heat island effects and variable cloud cover introduce small uncertainties that keep 11°C and 12°C probabilities nearly tied. Historical August minima average 12–14°C, and recent observations show no sharp cooling trend, supporting trader focus on these thresholds over lower or higher outcomes. Updated model runs tonight will refine the exact minimum.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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