Traders see 25°C and 24°C as the most probable lows for Incheon on August 29 because official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and models like GFS show overnight minima near 24–25°C under mostly cloudy skies, high humidity near 85–90%, and light northwest winds that limit radiative cooling. Persistent moisture from the East Asian summer monsoon pattern reduces the temperature drop after daytime highs of 28–30°C, while scattered showers add further insulation. The tight 51.5–42.5% split reflects minor model differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, typical for late-August conditions where climatological lows average around 23°C. Updated evening observations and any clearing overnight could shift the final recorded minimum before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 29?
25°C 52%
24°C 43%
23°C 7%
22°C 2%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
7%
24°C
43%
25°C
52%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 52%
24°C 43%
23°C 7%
22°C 2%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
2%
23°C
7%
24°C
43%
25°C
52%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 27, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksiNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Traders see 25°C and 24°C as the most probable lows for Incheon on August 29 because official forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and models like GFS show overnight minima near 24–25°C under mostly cloudy skies, high humidity near 85–90%, and light northwest winds that limit radiative cooling. Persistent moisture from the East Asian summer monsoon pattern reduces the temperature drop after daytime highs of 28–30°C, while scattered showers add further insulation. The tight 51.5–42.5% split reflects minor model differences in cloud timing and boundary-layer mixing, typical for late-August conditions where climatological lows average around 23°C. Updated evening observations and any clearing overnight could shift the final recorded minimum before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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