**Trader consensus for Seoul's June 14 lowest temperature centers on 20–21°C** because recent KMA short-range forecasts and international model runs indicate overnight lows in the upper teens to low 20s under partly cloudy skies and light winds. Typical early-June climatology shows morning minima around 16–19°C, but current steering patterns and higher dew points have kept radiative cooling modest, pushing the expected floor upward. With the morning observation window (roughly 3–9 a.m. KST) now closed or nearly so, any final hourly reading near 20°C would lock in the leading outcomes while ruling out sub-19°C results. Updated guidance this afternoon and official KMA verification will determine whether the market-implied probabilities hold.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Seoul on June 14?
21°C 92%
20°C 5%
19°C 3.0%
18°C <1%
$10,688 KL.
$10,688 KL.
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
5%
21°C
85%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
21°C 92%
20°C 5%
19°C 3.0%
18°C <1%
$10,688 KL.
$10,688 KL.
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
3%
20°C
5%
21°C
85%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 12, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus for Seoul's June 14 lowest temperature centers on 20–21°C** because recent KMA short-range forecasts and international model runs indicate overnight lows in the upper teens to low 20s under partly cloudy skies and light winds. Typical early-June climatology shows morning minima around 16–19°C, but current steering patterns and higher dew points have kept radiative cooling modest, pushing the expected floor upward. With the morning observation window (roughly 3–9 a.m. KST) now closed or nearly so, any final hourly reading near 20°C would lock in the leading outcomes while ruling out sub-19°C results. Updated guidance this afternoon and official KMA verification will determine whether the market-implied probabilities hold.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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