Trader sentiment in the Shanghai minimum temperature market centers on ensemble forecast consensus from global and regional models projecting a 26–28°C overnight low on August 23, driven by persistent summer humidity, limited radiative cooling under cloudy or overcast skies, and a weak steering pattern keeping the region under subtropical high pressure. Recent runs show minimal model spread, with typical August climatology (historical lows near 25–27°C) reinforced by current observations of 26–27°C minima amid scattered showers and high dew points. As resolution nears within 48 hours, any late-model shift from the National Meteorological Center or ECMWF could adjust implied probabilities, though current guidance supports the market’s tight clustering around 27°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Shanghai on August 23?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on August 23?
27°C 51%
28°C 37%
26°C 11%
25°C 5%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 23, 2026
22°C or below
1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
2%
25°C
5%
26°C
11%
27°C
51%
28°C
37%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
<1%
32°C or higher
<1%
27°C 51%
28°C 37%
26°C 11%
25°C 5%
MỚI
MỚI
Aug 23, 2026
22°C or below
$26 KL.
1%
23°C
$142 KL.
<1%
24°C
$152 KL.
2%
25°C
$92 KL.
5%
26°C
$57 KL.
11%
27°C
$3,076 KL.
51%
28°C
$242 KL.
37%
29°C
$17 KL.
1%
30°C
$12 KL.
1%
31°C
$24 KL.
<1%
32°C or higher
$60 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment in the Shanghai minimum temperature market centers on ensemble forecast consensus from global and regional models projecting a 26–28°C overnight low on August 23, driven by persistent summer humidity, limited radiative cooling under cloudy or overcast skies, and a weak steering pattern keeping the region under subtropical high pressure. Recent runs show minimal model spread, with typical August climatology (historical lows near 25–27°C) reinforced by current observations of 26–27°C minima amid scattered showers and high dew points. As resolution nears within 48 hours, any late-model shift from the National Meteorological Center or ECMWF could adjust implied probabilities, though current guidance supports the market’s tight clustering around 27°C.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$3,901Ngày kết thúc
Aug 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment in the Shanghai minimum temperature market centers on ensemble forecast consensus from global and regional models projecting a 26–28°C overnight low on August 23, driven by persistent summer humidity, limited radiative cooling under cloudy or overcast skies, and a weak steering pattern keeping the region under subtropical high pressure. Recent runs show minimal model spread, with typical August climatology (historical lows near 25–27°C) reinforced by current observations of 26–27°C minima amid scattered showers and high dew points. As resolution nears within 48 hours, any late-model shift from the National Meteorological Center or ECMWF could adjust implied probabilities, though current guidance supports the market’s tight clustering around 27°C.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$3,901Ngày kết thúc
Aug 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment in the Shanghai minimum temperature market centers on ensemble forecast consensus from global and regional models projecting a 26–28°C overnight low on August 23, driven by persistent summer humidity, limited radiative cooling under cloudy or overcast skies, and a weak steering pattern keeping the region under subtropical high pressure. Recent runs show minimal model spread, with typical August climatology (historical lows near 25–27°C) reinforced by current observations of 26–27°C minima amid scattered showers and high dew points. As resolution nears within 48 hours, any late-model shift from the National Meteorological Center or ECMWF could adjust implied probabilities, though current guidance supports the market’s tight clustering around 27°C.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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