**Trader consensus has converged on a 27°C minimum for Shanghai on September 3, 2026, reflecting consistent official forecasts and real-time observations showing overnight temperatures stabilizing near this level.** Multiple meteorological sources, including local and international models, indicate a daily range of roughly 26–31°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with light northeasterly winds and high humidity typical of early September in the region. This aligns with climatological baselines for Shanghai, where September minima often hover in the mid-20s°C absent strong frontal systems or radiative cooling under clear skies. No significant model divergence or sudden atmospheric shifts—such as an unexpected surge in northerly flow or reduced cloud cover—have emerged to alter the trajectory. The market-implied odds therefore capture the narrow uncertainty band around verified station readings, with only extreme, low-probability revisions in final data releases able to shift the outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Shanghai on September 3?
Lowest temperature in Shanghai on September 3?
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$11,469 KL.
$11,469 KL.
Sep 3, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$11,469 KL.
$11,469 KL.
Sep 3, 2026
22°C or below
$561 KL.
No
23°C
$673 KL.
No
24°C
$478 KL.
No
25°C
$906 KL.
No
26°C
$2,641 KL.
No
27°C
$4,631 KL.
Yes
28°C
$986 KL.
No
29°C
$285 KL.
No
30°C
$91 KL.
No
31°C
$91 KL.
No
32°C or higher
$126 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on a 27°C minimum for Shanghai on September 3, 2026, reflecting consistent official forecasts and real-time observations showing overnight temperatures stabilizing near this level.** Multiple meteorological sources, including local and international models, indicate a daily range of roughly 26–31°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with light northeasterly winds and high humidity typical of early September in the region. This aligns with climatological baselines for Shanghai, where September minima often hover in the mid-20s°C absent strong frontal systems or radiative cooling under clear skies. No significant model divergence or sudden atmospheric shifts—such as an unexpected surge in northerly flow or reduced cloud cover—have emerged to alter the trajectory. The market-implied odds therefore capture the narrow uncertainty band around verified station readings, with only extreme, low-probability revisions in final data releases able to shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$11,469Ngày kết thúc
Sep 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus has converged on a 27°C minimum for Shanghai on September 3, 2026, reflecting consistent official forecasts and real-time observations showing overnight temperatures stabilizing near this level.** Multiple meteorological sources, including local and international models, indicate a daily range of roughly 26–31°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with light northeasterly winds and high humidity typical of early September in the region. This aligns with climatological baselines for Shanghai, where September minima often hover in the mid-20s°C absent strong frontal systems or radiative cooling under clear skies. No significant model divergence or sudden atmospheric shifts—such as an unexpected surge in northerly flow or reduced cloud cover—have emerged to alter the trajectory. The market-implied odds therefore capture the narrow uncertainty band around verified station readings, with only extreme, low-probability revisions in final data releases able to shift the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$11,469Ngày kết thúc
Sep 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
**Trader consensus has converged on a 27°C minimum for Shanghai on September 3, 2026, reflecting consistent official forecasts and real-time observations showing overnight temperatures stabilizing near this level.** Multiple meteorological sources, including local and international models, indicate a daily range of roughly 26–31°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with light northeasterly winds and high humidity typical of early September in the region. This aligns with climatological baselines for Shanghai, where September minima often hover in the mid-20s°C absent strong frontal systems or radiative cooling under clear skies. No significant model divergence or sudden atmospheric shifts—such as an unexpected surge in northerly flow or reduced cloud cover—have emerged to alter the trajectory. The market-implied odds therefore capture the narrow uncertainty band around verified station readings, with only extreme, low-probability revisions in final data releases able to shift the outcome.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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