Recent forecasts from regional meteorological services project a daily minimum near 25°C for Shenzhen on September 3 amid persistent monsoon rains and scattered thunderstorms, consistent with the seasonal average low of 24°C. Trader sentiment clusters around 24–25°C outcomes because numerical weather models show modest spread in nocturnal radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and rainfall timing, with any northward advection of slightly cooler air or prolonged clear spells after showers able to push readings lower. Heavier rain episodes typically moderate minima by limiting clear-sky heat loss, while the low probability assigned to 20°C or below reflects the unlikelihood of significant cold-air intrusions this early in the season. Updated high-resolution model guidance over the next 48 hours will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 3?
20°C or below 69%
28°C 46%
30°C or higher 46%
25°C 34%
20°C or below
69%
21°C
20%
22°C
24%
23°C
24%
24°C
28%
25°C
34%
26°C
24%
27°C
24%
28°C
46%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
46%
20°C or below 69%
28°C 46%
30°C or higher 46%
25°C 34%
20°C or below
69%
21°C
20%
22°C
24%
23°C
24%
24°C
28%
25°C
34%
26°C
24%
27°C
24%
28°C
46%
29°C
2%
30°C or higher
46%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 1, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from regional meteorological services project a daily minimum near 25°C for Shenzhen on September 3 amid persistent monsoon rains and scattered thunderstorms, consistent with the seasonal average low of 24°C. Trader sentiment clusters around 24–25°C outcomes because numerical weather models show modest spread in nocturnal radiative cooling under variable cloud cover and rainfall timing, with any northward advection of slightly cooler air or prolonged clear spells after showers able to push readings lower. Heavier rain episodes typically moderate minima by limiting clear-sky heat loss, while the low probability assigned to 20°C or below reflects the unlikelihood of significant cold-air intrusions this early in the season. Updated high-resolution model guidance over the next 48 hours will narrow the range ahead of market resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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