Recent forecasts for Shenzhen point to overnight lows of 24–26°C on September 2, shaped by persistent cloud cover, light northerly winds, and residual moisture from the East Asian monsoon. Model runs show modest disagreement on the extent of clearing overnight, which directly affects radiative cooling and the precise minimum temperature. Historical September averages near 25°C provide context, while current conditions lack strong high-pressure dominance that would push readings notably lower. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 24–25°C because these align with the latest numerical guidance, with modest probability mass on adjacent values reflecting typical short-range forecast spread and potential for minor timing shifts in any showers. Updated model outputs and official Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine the range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 2?
Lowest temperature in Shenzhen on September 2?
25°C 100%
24°C 91%
23°C 90%
20°C or below 86%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 2, 2026
20°C or below
86%
21°C
24%
22°C
20%
23°C
90%
24°C
91%
25°C
100%
26°C
80%
27°C
45%
28°C
45%
29°C
45%
30°C or higher
48%
25°C 100%
24°C 91%
23°C 90%
20°C or below 86%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 2, 2026
20°C or below
$5 KL.
86%
21°C
$5 KL.
24%
22°C
$5 KL.
20%
23°C
$0 KL.
90%
24°C
$0 KL.
91%
25°C
$0 KL.
100%
26°C
$0 KL.
80%
27°C
$0 KL.
45%
28°C
$0 KL.
45%
29°C
$5 KL.
45%
30°C or higher
$5 KL.
48%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shenzhen point to overnight lows of 24–26°C on September 2, shaped by persistent cloud cover, light northerly winds, and residual moisture from the East Asian monsoon. Model runs show modest disagreement on the extent of clearing overnight, which directly affects radiative cooling and the precise minimum temperature. Historical September averages near 25°C provide context, while current conditions lack strong high-pressure dominance that would push readings notably lower. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 24–25°C because these align with the latest numerical guidance, with modest probability mass on adjacent values reflecting typical short-range forecast spread and potential for minor timing shifts in any showers. Updated model outputs and official Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Khối lượng
$25Ngày kết thúc
Sep 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Shenzhen point to overnight lows of 24–26°C on September 2, shaped by persistent cloud cover, light northerly winds, and residual moisture from the East Asian monsoon. Model runs show modest disagreement on the extent of clearing overnight, which directly affects radiative cooling and the precise minimum temperature. Historical September averages near 25°C provide context, while current conditions lack strong high-pressure dominance that would push readings notably lower. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 24–25°C because these align with the latest numerical guidance, with modest probability mass on adjacent values reflecting typical short-range forecast spread and potential for minor timing shifts in any showers. Updated model outputs and official Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine the range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$25Ngày kết thúc
Sep 2, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 31, 2026, 12:31 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgszNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Shenzhen point to overnight lows of 24–26°C on September 2, shaped by persistent cloud cover, light northerly winds, and residual moisture from the East Asian monsoon. Model runs show modest disagreement on the extent of clearing overnight, which directly affects radiative cooling and the precise minimum temperature. Historical September averages near 25°C provide context, while current conditions lack strong high-pressure dominance that would push readings notably lower. Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 24–25°C because these align with the latest numerical guidance, with modest probability mass on adjacent values reflecting typical short-range forecast spread and potential for minor timing shifts in any showers. Updated model outputs and official Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine the range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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