Forecast models for Wuhan on September 23 project a daily minimum near 22°C under mostly cloudy skies with 16–45% rain chances and light northeast winds, creating tight uncertainty around radiational cooling versus residual daytime heat retention. Recent model runs show modest day-to-day variability tied to overnight cloud cover and weak frontal passage on the 22nd, keeping the 20–23°C range favored while limiting deeper cooling below 18°C or spikes above 25°C. With resolution imminent, trader consensus reflects this narrow envelope, where small revisions in local station readings or final model guidance could shift the exact minimum and resolve the near-even odds between sub-17°C and 26°C+ outcomes. Updated Chinese Meteorological Administration and global ensemble forecasts are expected within 24 hours.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Wuhan on September 23?
Lowest temperature in Wuhan on September 23?
16°C or below 100%
26°C or higher 96%
20°C 40%
21°C 40%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 23, 2026
16°C or below
100%
17°C
39%
18°C
39%
19°C
39%
20°C
40%
21°C
40%
22°C
23%
23°C
39%
24°C
39%
25°C
39%
26°C or higher
96%
16°C or below 100%
26°C or higher 96%
20°C 40%
21°C 40%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 23, 2026
16°C or below
$0 KL.
100%
17°C
$0 KL.
39%
18°C
$0 KL.
39%
19°C
$0 KL.
39%
20°C
$0 KL.
40%
21°C
$0 KL.
40%
22°C
$0 KL.
23%
23°C
$0 KL.
39%
24°C
$0 KL.
39%
25°C
$0 KL.
39%
26°C or higher
$0 KL.
96%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Wuhan on September 23 project a daily minimum near 22°C under mostly cloudy skies with 16–45% rain chances and light northeast winds, creating tight uncertainty around radiational cooling versus residual daytime heat retention. Recent model runs show modest day-to-day variability tied to overnight cloud cover and weak frontal passage on the 22nd, keeping the 20–23°C range favored while limiting deeper cooling below 18°C or spikes above 25°C. With resolution imminent, trader consensus reflects this narrow envelope, where small revisions in local station readings or final model guidance could shift the exact minimum and resolve the near-even odds between sub-17°C and 26°C+ outcomes. Updated Chinese Meteorological Administration and global ensemble forecasts are expected within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Sep 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models for Wuhan on September 23 project a daily minimum near 22°C under mostly cloudy skies with 16–45% rain chances and light northeast winds, creating tight uncertainty around radiational cooling versus residual daytime heat retention. Recent model runs show modest day-to-day variability tied to overnight cloud cover and weak frontal passage on the 22nd, keeping the 20–23°C range favored while limiting deeper cooling below 18°C or spikes above 25°C. With resolution imminent, trader consensus reflects this narrow envelope, where small revisions in local station readings or final model guidance could shift the exact minimum and resolve the near-even odds between sub-17°C and 26°C+ outcomes. Updated Chinese Meteorological Administration and global ensemble forecasts are expected within 24 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhh
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$0Ngày kết thúc
Sep 23, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhhhNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Wuhan on September 23 project a daily minimum near 22°C under mostly cloudy skies with 16–45% rain chances and light northeast winds, creating tight uncertainty around radiational cooling versus residual daytime heat retention. Recent model runs show modest day-to-day variability tied to overnight cloud cover and weak frontal passage on the 22nd, keeping the 20–23°C range favored while limiting deeper cooling below 18°C or spikes above 25°C. With resolution imminent, trader consensus reflects this narrow envelope, where small revisions in local station readings or final model guidance could shift the exact minimum and resolve the near-even odds between sub-17°C and 26°C+ outcomes. Updated Chinese Meteorological Administration and global ensemble forecasts are expected within 24 hours.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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