Recent polling for Malta’s May 30 parliamentary election shows the incumbent Labour Party holding a lead of roughly 8–11 points over the Nationalist Party, consistent with surveys conducted in April and early May. This narrower margin compared with Labour’s double-digit victories in 2013, 2017 and 2022 explains why traders assign the highest probability to a 5–10% Labour win. The snap election called by Prime Minister Robert Abela in late April, prompted by energy-price concerns linked to Middle East tensions, has kept the race in focus while Labour’s campaign emphasises economic stability and low unemployment. Nationalist leader Alex Borg’s emphasis on change has yet to close the gap in published surveys, leaving smaller margins and larger victories as secondary trader expectations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLabour Party 5-10% 47%
Labour Party <5% 23%
Labour Party 10-15% 19%
Other 7.4%
MỚI
MỚI
May 30, 2026
Labour Party 25%+
<1%
Labour Party 20-25%
2%
Labour Party 15-20%
3%
Labour Party 10-15%
19%
Labour Party 5-10%
47%
Labour Party <5%
23%
Other
7%
Labour Party 5-10% 47%
Labour Party <5% 23%
Labour Party 10-15% 19%
Other 7.4%
MỚI
MỚI
May 30, 2026
Labour Party 25%+
$411 KL.
<1%
Labour Party 20-25%
$767 KL.
2%
Labour Party 15-20%
$498 KL.
3%
Labour Party 10-15%
$495 KL.
19%
Labour Party 5-10%
$1,402 KL.
47%
Labour Party <5%
$711 KL.
23%
Other
$616 KL.
7%
General elections are scheduled to be held in Malta on May 30, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid votes in this election.
If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the political party that wins the most valid votes nationwide and the political party that wins the second-most valid votes nationwide. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If two or more parties tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two parties listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the list whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed party and an unlisted party, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed party. If the tie is between two or more unlisted parties, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most valid votes in this election, or the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the 2026 Maltese general election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results reported by the Government of Malta, such as those published by the Electoral Commission of Malta (https://electoral.gov.mt/).Recent polling for Malta’s May 30 parliamentary election shows the incumbent Labour Party holding a lead of roughly 8–11 points over the Nationalist Party, consistent with surveys conducted in April and early May. This narrower margin compared with Labour’s double-digit victories in 2013, 2017 and 2022 explains why traders assign the highest probability to a 5–10% Labour win. The snap election called by Prime Minister Robert Abela in late April, prompted by energy-price concerns linked to Middle East tensions, has kept the race in focus while Labour’s campaign emphasises economic stability and low unemployment. Nationalist leader Alex Borg’s emphasis on change has yet to close the gap in published surveys, leaving smaller margins and larger victories as secondary trader expectations.
General elections are scheduled to be held in Malta on May 30, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid votes in this election.
If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the political party that wins the most valid votes nationwide and the political party that wins the second-most valid votes nationwide. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If two or more parties tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two parties listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the list whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed party and an unlisted party, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed party. If the tie is between two or more unlisted parties, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most valid votes in this election, or the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the 2026 Maltese general election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results reported by the Government of Malta, such as those published by the Electoral Commission of Malta (https://electoral.gov.mt/).
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid votes in this election.
If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the political party that wins the most valid votes nationwide and the political party that wins the second-most valid votes nationwide. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If two or more parties tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two parties listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the list whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed party and an unlisted party, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed party. If the tie is between two or more unlisted parties, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most valid votes in this election, or the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the 2026 Maltese general election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results reported by the Government of Malta, such as those published by the Electoral Commission of Malta (https://electoral.gov.mt/).
Thị trường mở: May 12, 2026, 7:49 PM ET
Khối lượng
$4,900Ngày kết thúc
May 30, 2026Thị trường mở
May 12, 2026, 7:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...General elections are scheduled to be held in Malta on May 30, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid votes in this election.
If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the political party that wins the most valid votes nationwide and the political party that wins the second-most valid votes nationwide. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If two or more parties tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two parties listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the list whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed party and an unlisted party, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed party. If the tie is between two or more unlisted parties, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most valid votes in this election, or the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the 2026 Maltese general election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results reported by the Government of Malta, such as those published by the Electoral Commission of Malta (https://electoral.gov.mt/).Recent polling for Malta’s May 30 parliamentary election shows the incumbent Labour Party holding a lead of roughly 8–11 points over the Nationalist Party, consistent with surveys conducted in April and early May. This narrower margin compared with Labour’s double-digit victories in 2013, 2017 and 2022 explains why traders assign the highest probability to a 5–10% Labour win. The snap election called by Prime Minister Robert Abela in late April, prompted by energy-price concerns linked to Middle East tensions, has kept the race in focus while Labour’s campaign emphasises economic stability and low unemployment. Nationalist leader Alex Borg’s emphasis on change has yet to close the gap in published surveys, leaving smaller margins and larger victories as secondary trader expectations.
General elections are scheduled to be held in Malta on May 30, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid votes in this election.
If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the political party that wins the most valid votes nationwide and the political party that wins the second-most valid votes nationwide. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If two or more parties tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two parties listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the list whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed party and an unlisted party, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed party. If the tie is between two or more unlisted parties, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most valid votes in this election, or the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the 2026 Maltese general election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results reported by the Government of Malta, such as those published by the Electoral Commission of Malta (https://electoral.gov.mt/).
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two parties in terms of valid votes in this election.
If the margin of victory falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
For the purposes of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the political party that wins the most valid votes nationwide and the political party that wins the second-most valid votes nationwide. Percentages of the valid votes received by each party will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two parties receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If two or more parties tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two parties listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the list whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed party and an unlisted party, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed party. If the tie is between two or more unlisted parties, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If any unlisted party wins the most valid votes in this election, or the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the 2026 Maltese general election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results reported by the Government of Malta, such as those published by the Electoral Commission of Malta (https://electoral.gov.mt/).
Khối lượng
$4,900Ngày kết thúc
May 30, 2026Thị trường mở
May 12, 2026, 7:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for Malta’s May 30 parliamentary election shows the incumbent Labour Party holding a lead of roughly 8–11 points over the Nationalist Party, consistent with surveys conducted in April and early May. This narrower margin compared with Labour’s double-digit victories in 2013, 2017 and 2022 explains why traders assign the highest probability to a 5–10% Labour win. The snap election called by Prime Minister Robert Abela in late April, prompted by energy-price concerns linked to Middle East tensions, has kept the race in focus while Labour’s campaign emphasises economic stability and low unemployment. Nationalist leader Alex Borg’s emphasis on change has yet to close the gap in published surveys, leaving smaller margins and larger victories as secondary trader expectations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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