Traders are pricing May US inflation at 4.2–4.4 percent year-over-year as the three leading outcomes capture over 94 percent of market-implied odds in a tight contest. April CPI and core readings, combined with steady nonfarm payrolls and wage growth, have anchored expectations without fresh upside surprises, while the latest FOMC minutes reinforced a data-dependent stance on policy rates. Treasury yields and breakeven inflation measures remain consistent with this band, reflecting balanced views on whether cooling demand or sticky services prices will dominate. The June employment report and retail sales data due before the mid-June CPI release stand as the next potential catalysts that could shift probabilities among these closely matched outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật≥4.4% 36%
4.3% 35%
4.2% 25%
4.1% 7%
$30,770 KL.
$30,770 KL.
Jun 10, 2026
≤3.3%
<1%
3.4%
<1%
3.5%
1%
3.6%
<1%
3.7%
1%
3.8%
2%
3.9%
<1%
4.0%
1%
4.1%
7%
4.2%
25%
4.3%
35%
≥4.4%
36%
≥4.4% 36%
4.3% 35%
4.2% 25%
4.1% 7%
$30,770 KL.
$30,770 KL.
Jun 10, 2026
≤3.3%
$1,104 KL.
<1%
3.4%
$849 KL.
<1%
3.5%
$1,346 KL.
1%
3.6%
$1,121 KL.
<1%
3.7%
$1,075 KL.
1%
3.8%
$1,511 KL.
2%
3.9%
$992 KL.
<1%
4.0%
$1,188 KL.
1%
4.1%
$2,226 KL.
7%
4.2%
$6,220 KL.
25%
4.3%
$8,582 KL.
35%
≥4.4%
$4,557 KL.
36%
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Traders are pricing May US inflation at 4.2–4.4 percent year-over-year as the three leading outcomes capture over 94 percent of market-implied odds in a tight contest. April CPI and core readings, combined with steady nonfarm payrolls and wage growth, have anchored expectations without fresh upside surprises, while the latest FOMC minutes reinforced a data-dependent stance on policy rates. Treasury yields and breakeven inflation measures remain consistent with this band, reflecting balanced views on whether cooling demand or sticky services prices will dominate. The June employment report and retail sales data due before the mid-June CPI release stand as the next potential catalysts that could shift probabilities among these closely matched outcomes.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Thị trường mở: May 12, 2026, 3:41 PM ET
Khối lượng
$30,770Ngày kết thúc
Jun 10, 2026Thị trường mở
May 12, 2026, 3:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Traders are pricing May US inflation at 4.2–4.4 percent year-over-year as the three leading outcomes capture over 94 percent of market-implied odds in a tight contest. April CPI and core readings, combined with steady nonfarm payrolls and wage growth, have anchored expectations without fresh upside surprises, while the latest FOMC minutes reinforced a data-dependent stance on policy rates. Treasury yields and breakeven inflation measures remain consistent with this band, reflecting balanced views on whether cooling demand or sticky services prices will dominate. The June employment report and retail sales data due before the mid-June CPI release stand as the next potential catalysts that could shift probabilities among these closely matched outcomes.
This is a market about inflation over the 12-month period ending May 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending in May 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports inflation over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Khối lượng
$30,770Ngày kết thúc
Jun 10, 2026Thị trường mở
May 12, 2026, 3:41 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders are pricing May US inflation at 4.2–4.4 percent year-over-year as the three leading outcomes capture over 94 percent of market-implied odds in a tight contest. April CPI and core readings, combined with steady nonfarm payrolls and wage growth, have anchored expectations without fresh upside surprises, while the latest FOMC minutes reinforced a data-dependent stance on policy rates. Treasury yields and breakeven inflation measures remain consistent with this band, reflecting balanced views on whether cooling demand or sticky services prices will dominate. The June employment report and retail sales data due before the mid-June CPI release stand as the next potential catalysts that could shift probabilities among these closely matched outcomes.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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