Trader sentiment for the May U.S. inflation reading shows a tightly contested outcome, with the 0.5% month-over-month CPI increase holding a modest 31.5% implied probability edge over the 25.5% odds on 0.6%. This competitive spread reflects offsetting pressures from resilient service-sector prices and steady consumer demand, which could anchor gains near recent levels, versus softening labor-market conditions that may curb wage-related inflation. Broader uncertainty is evident in the meaningful probabilities assigned to both 0.4% and 0.7% prints, underscoring how upcoming employment data and Federal Reserve guidance could tip expectations ahead of the June release. The distribution highlights traders pricing in a range of plausible paths rather than a single dominant scenario.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật0.5% 32%
0.6% 28%
0.7% 14%
0.4% 13%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 10, 2026
≤0.1%
4%
0.2%
9%
0.3%
11%
0.4%
13%
0.5%
32%
0.6%
28%
0.7%
14%
0.8%
5%
≥0.9%
6%
0.5% 32%
0.6% 28%
0.7% 14%
0.4% 13%
MỚI
MỚI
Jun 10, 2026
≤0.1%
$29 KL.
4%
0.2%
$27 KL.
9%
0.3%
$389 KL.
11%
0.4%
$512 KL.
13%
0.5%
$29 KL.
32%
0.6%
$258 KL.
28%
0.7%
$27 KL.
14%
0.8%
$77 KL.
5%
≥0.9%
$89 KL.
6%
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Trader sentiment for the May U.S. inflation reading shows a tightly contested outcome, with the 0.5% month-over-month CPI increase holding a modest 31.5% implied probability edge over the 25.5% odds on 0.6%. This competitive spread reflects offsetting pressures from resilient service-sector prices and steady consumer demand, which could anchor gains near recent levels, versus softening labor-market conditions that may curb wage-related inflation. Broader uncertainty is evident in the meaningful probabilities assigned to both 0.4% and 0.7% prints, underscoring how upcoming employment data and Federal Reserve guidance could tip expectations ahead of the June release. The distribution highlights traders pricing in a range of plausible paths rather than a single dominant scenario.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Thị trường mở: May 12, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
Khối lượng
$1,436Ngày kết thúc
Jun 10, 2026Thị trường mở
May 12, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Trader sentiment for the May U.S. inflation reading shows a tightly contested outcome, with the 0.5% month-over-month CPI increase holding a modest 31.5% implied probability edge over the 25.5% odds on 0.6%. This competitive spread reflects offsetting pressures from resilient service-sector prices and steady consumer demand, which could anchor gains near recent levels, versus softening labor-market conditions that may curb wage-related inflation. Broader uncertainty is evident in the meaningful probabilities assigned to both 0.4% and 0.7% prints, underscoring how upcoming employment data and Federal Reserve guidance could tip expectations ahead of the June release. The distribution highlights traders pricing in a range of plausible paths rather than a single dominant scenario.
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS).
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in May 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for May 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on June 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Khối lượng
$1,436Ngày kết thúc
Jun 10, 2026Thị trường mở
May 12, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for the May U.S. inflation reading shows a tightly contested outcome, with the 0.5% month-over-month CPI increase holding a modest 31.5% implied probability edge over the 25.5% odds on 0.6%. This competitive spread reflects offsetting pressures from resilient service-sector prices and steady consumer demand, which could anchor gains near recent levels, versus softening labor-market conditions that may curb wage-related inflation. Broader uncertainty is evident in the meaningful probabilities assigned to both 0.4% and 0.7% prints, underscoring how upcoming employment data and Federal Reserve guidance could tip expectations ahead of the June release. The distribution highlights traders pricing in a range of plausible paths rather than a single dominant scenario.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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