Cleitinho Azevedo leads the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial race with 46% implied probability in trader consensus, reflecting his consistent first-round polling advantage of 30-37% in the latest Genial/Quaest survey and strong conservative plus evangelical backing. Rodrigo Pacheco trails at 23.5% amid coalition uncertainties after his April party switch to PSB and recent poll declines to 8-12%. Fragmentation among other contenders, including Alexandre Kalil and Mateus Simões, disperses center-right and anti-incumbent support ahead of the October 4 first round and possible October 25 runoff. High undecided voters and evolving alliances continue to shape positioning in this bellwether state contest.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtCleitinho Azevedo 46%
Rodrigo Pacheco 24%
Mateus Simões 7.2%
Alexandre Kalil 7.0%
$24,079 KL.
$24,079 KL.
Oct 4, 2026
Cleitinho Azevedo
46%
Rodrigo Pacheco
24%
Mateus Simões
7%
Alexandre Kalil
7%
Alexandre Silveira
6%
Aécio Neves
4%
Tadeu Leite
4%
Benoni Mendes
3%
Nikolas Ferreira
3%
Gabriel Azevedo
1%
Cleitinho Azevedo 46%
Rodrigo Pacheco 24%
Mateus Simões 7.2%
Alexandre Kalil 7.0%
$24,079 KL.
$24,079 KL.
Oct 4, 2026
Cleitinho Azevedo
$7,174 KL.
46%
Rodrigo Pacheco
$6,765 KL.
24%
Mateus Simões
$860 KL.
7%
Alexandre Kalil
$813 KL.
7%
Alexandre Silveira
$806 KL.
6%
Aécio Neves
$1,138 KL.
4%
Tadeu Leite
$1,609 KL.
4%
Benoni Mendes
$1,061 KL.
3%
Nikolas Ferreira
$2,363 KL.
3%
Gabriel Azevedo
$1,490 KL.
1%
The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Cleitinho Azevedo leads the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial race with 46% implied probability in trader consensus, reflecting his consistent first-round polling advantage of 30-37% in the latest Genial/Quaest survey and strong conservative plus evangelical backing. Rodrigo Pacheco trails at 23.5% amid coalition uncertainties after his April party switch to PSB and recent poll declines to 8-12%. Fragmentation among other contenders, including Alexandre Kalil and Mateus Simões, disperses center-right and anti-incumbent support ahead of the October 4 first round and possible October 25 runoff. High undecided voters and evolving alliances continue to shape positioning in this bellwether state contest.
The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Thị trường mở: Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
Khối lượng
$24,079Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Cleitinho Azevedo leads the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial race with 46% implied probability in trader consensus, reflecting his consistent first-round polling advantage of 30-37% in the latest Genial/Quaest survey and strong conservative plus evangelical backing. Rodrigo Pacheco trails at 23.5% amid coalition uncertainties after his April party switch to PSB and recent poll declines to 8-12%. Fragmentation among other contenders, including Alexandre Kalil and Mateus Simões, disperses center-right and anti-incumbent support ahead of the October 4 first round and possible October 25 runoff. High undecided voters and evolving alliances continue to shape positioning in this bellwether state contest.
The Minas Gerais gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Khối lượng
$24,079Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 27, 2026, 5:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Cleitinho Azevedo leads the 2026 Minas Gerais gubernatorial race with 46% implied probability in trader consensus, reflecting his consistent first-round polling advantage of 30-37% in the latest Genial/Quaest survey and strong conservative plus evangelical backing. Rodrigo Pacheco trails at 23.5% amid coalition uncertainties after his April party switch to PSB and recent poll declines to 8-12%. Fragmentation among other contenders, including Alexandre Kalil and Mateus Simões, disperses center-right and anti-incumbent support ahead of the October 4 first round and possible October 25 runoff. High undecided voters and evolving alliances continue to shape positioning in this bellwether state contest.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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