Virginia’s Supreme Court ruled on May 8 that procedural flaws invalidated the April 21 voter-approved constitutional amendment authorizing a new congressional map, leaving the post-2020 census districts in place. Subsequent appeals, including an emergency request to the U.S. Supreme Court denied on May 15, have failed to restore the Democratic-backed alternative that would have favored the party in ten of eleven districts. With election administration deadlines approaching and no further legal avenues open, the existing boundaries will govern the 2026 midterms, producing the strong trader consensus reflected in the 93.5 percent probability assigned to “No.”
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNew Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?
New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?
$39,933 KL.
$39,933 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
$39,933 KL.
$39,933 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.Virginia’s Supreme Court ruled on May 8 that procedural flaws invalidated the April 21 voter-approved constitutional amendment authorizing a new congressional map, leaving the post-2020 census districts in place. Subsequent appeals, including an emergency request to the U.S. Supreme Court denied on May 15, have failed to restore the Democratic-backed alternative that would have favored the party in ten of eleven districts. With election administration deadlines approaching and no further legal avenues open, the existing boundaries will govern the 2026 midterms, producing the strong trader consensus reflected in the 93.5 percent probability assigned to “No.”
The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Mar 3, 2026, 2:53 PM ET
Khối lượng
$39,933Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Mar 3, 2026, 2:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.Virginia’s Supreme Court ruled on May 8 that procedural flaws invalidated the April 21 voter-approved constitutional amendment authorizing a new congressional map, leaving the post-2020 census districts in place. Subsequent appeals, including an emergency request to the U.S. Supreme Court denied on May 15, have failed to restore the Democratic-backed alternative that would have favored the party in ten of eleven districts. With election administration deadlines approaching and no further legal avenues open, the existing boundaries will govern the 2026 midterms, producing the strong trader consensus reflected in the 93.5 percent probability assigned to “No.”
The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$39,933Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Mar 3, 2026, 2:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Virginia’s Supreme Court ruled on May 8 that procedural flaws invalidated the April 21 voter-approved constitutional amendment authorizing a new congressional map, leaving the post-2020 census districts in place. Subsequent appeals, including an emergency request to the U.S. Supreme Court denied on May 15, have failed to restore the Democratic-backed alternative that would have favored the party in ten of eleven districts. With election administration deadlines approaching and no further legal avenues open, the existing boundaries will govern the 2026 midterms, producing the strong trader consensus reflected in the 93.5 percent probability assigned to “No.”
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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