Recent polling from Ipsos, Demoskop, and Novus shows the Social Democrats holding a steady 32–34 percent lead ahead of the September 13, 2026 Riksdag election, establishing Magdalena Andersson as the clear trader consensus favorite for next prime minister. This edge stems from consistent voter support for the opposition bloc and the current centre-right government's vulnerability, as its four-party arrangement including the Sweden Democrats has not yet translated into majority backing. Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson's April announcement of plans for a formal majority coalition with the Sweden Democrats, granting them key immigration roles, has consolidated right-wing positioning but has not closed the gap in surveys. Minor candidates such as Jimmie Åkesson and Ebba Busch trail sharply because their parties remain secondary players in the projected seat math and lack viable paths to the premiership under current trends.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtThủ tướng tiếp theo của Thụy Điển
Thủ tướng tiếp theo của Thụy Điển
Magdalena Andersson 69%
Ulf Kristersson 29%
Jimmie Åkesson 2.3%
Ebba Busch <1%
$1,954,322 KL.
$1,954,322 KL.
Magdalena Andersson
69%
Ulf Kristersson
29%
Jimmie Åkesson
2%
Ebba Busch
<1%
Anna-Karin Hatt
<1%
Amanda Lind
<1%
Simona Mohamsson
<1%
Daniel Helldén
<1%
Nooshi Dadgostar
<1%
Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist
<1%
Magdalena Andersson 69%
Ulf Kristersson 29%
Jimmie Åkesson 2.3%
Ebba Busch <1%
$1,954,322 KL.
$1,954,322 KL.
Magdalena Andersson
69%
Ulf Kristersson
29%
Jimmie Åkesson
2%
Ebba Busch
<1%
Anna-Karin Hatt
<1%
Amanda Lind
<1%
Simona Mohamsson
<1%
Daniel Helldén
<1%
Nooshi Dadgostar
<1%
Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist
<1%
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling from Ipsos, Demoskop, and Novus shows the Social Democrats holding a steady 32–34 percent lead ahead of the September 13, 2026 Riksdag election, establishing Magdalena Andersson as the clear trader consensus favorite for next prime minister. This edge stems from consistent voter support for the opposition bloc and the current centre-right government's vulnerability, as its four-party arrangement including the Sweden Democrats has not yet translated into majority backing. Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson's April announcement of plans for a formal majority coalition with the Sweden Democrats, granting them key immigration roles, has consolidated right-wing positioning but has not closed the gap in surveys. Minor candidates such as Jimmie Åkesson and Ebba Busch trail sharply because their parties remain secondary players in the projected seat math and lack viable paths to the premiership under current trends.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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