Recent opinion polls ahead of Sweden’s September 13, 2026 Riksdag election show the Social Democrats holding a steady lead of roughly 32–34 percent, positioning their leader Magdalena Andersson as the strongest candidate to form the next government. Ulf Kristersson’s Moderates trail at around 17–19 percent despite his April announcement of a potential four-party majority coalition that would grant the Sweden Democrats significant influence on immigration policy. This coalition shift has not altered the underlying party standings enough to close the gap. Smaller-party leaders such as Jimmie Åkesson remain marginal in the market because their formations lack the parliamentary arithmetic to claim the premiership under current trends. Traders price these probabilities based on the latest polling aggregates and coalition scenarios.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtThủ tướng tiếp theo của Thụy Điển
Magdalena Andersson 69%
Ulf Kristersson 29%
Jimmie Åkesson 2.3%
Ebba Busch <1%
$1,953,933 KL.
$1,953,933 KL.

Magdalena Andersson
69%

Ulf Kristersson
29%

Jimmie Åkesson
2%

Ebba Busch
1%

Anna-Karin Hatt
<1%

Amanda Lind
<1%

Simona Mohamsson
<1%

Daniel Helldén
<1%

Nooshi Dadgostar
<1%

Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist
<1%
Magdalena Andersson 69%
Ulf Kristersson 29%
Jimmie Åkesson 2.3%
Ebba Busch <1%
$1,953,933 KL.
$1,953,933 KL.

Magdalena Andersson
69%

Ulf Kristersson
29%

Jimmie Åkesson
2%

Ebba Busch
1%

Anna-Karin Hatt
<1%

Amanda Lind
<1%

Simona Mohamsson
<1%

Daniel Helldén
<1%

Nooshi Dadgostar
<1%

Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist
<1%
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent opinion polls ahead of Sweden’s September 13, 2026 Riksdag election show the Social Democrats holding a steady lead of roughly 32–34 percent, positioning their leader Magdalena Andersson as the strongest candidate to form the next government. Ulf Kristersson’s Moderates trail at around 17–19 percent despite his April announcement of a potential four-party majority coalition that would grant the Sweden Democrats significant influence on immigration policy. This coalition shift has not altered the underlying party standings enough to close the gap. Smaller-party leaders such as Jimmie Åkesson remain marginal in the market because their formations lack the parliamentary arithmetic to claim the premiership under current trends. Traders price these probabilities based on the latest polling aggregates and coalition scenarios.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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