Russia's political system under President Vladimir Putin shows no verified signs of elite fractures or military dissent capable of triggering a coup attempt through the end of 2026. State Duma elections scheduled for September 2026 proceed amid routine preparations, with Kremlin statements highlighting external interference claims rather than internal threats. Economic pressures from Ukrainian strikes on energy infrastructure have created fuel shortages and slower growth, yet these have not produced coordinated challenges from security services or oligarchs. Russia has instead demonstrated capacity to project stability by aiding allies against coups abroad, such as in Niger. Traders price the "No" outcome at 94.5% as a reflection of the regime's sustained control over key institutions despite the ongoing conflict.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtRussia coup attempt in 2026?
Russia coup attempt in 2026?
6% khả năng
$131,224 KL.
$131,224 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
6% khả năng
$131,224 KL.
$131,224 KL.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Russia's political system under President Vladimir Putin shows no verified signs of elite fractures or military dissent capable of triggering a coup attempt through the end of 2026. State Duma elections scheduled for September 2026 proceed amid routine preparations, with Kremlin statements highlighting external interference claims rather than internal threats. Economic pressures from Ukrainian strikes on energy infrastructure have created fuel shortages and slower growth, yet these have not produced coordinated challenges from security services or oligarchs. Russia has instead demonstrated capacity to project stability by aiding allies against coups abroad, such as in Niger. Traders price the "No" outcome at 94.5% as a reflection of the regime's sustained control over key institutions despite the ongoing conflict.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
Khối lượng
$131,224Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Russia's political system under President Vladimir Putin shows no verified signs of elite fractures or military dissent capable of triggering a coup attempt through the end of 2026. State Duma elections scheduled for September 2026 proceed amid routine preparations, with Kremlin statements highlighting external interference claims rather than internal threats. Economic pressures from Ukrainian strikes on energy infrastructure have created fuel shortages and slower growth, yet these have not produced coordinated challenges from security services or oligarchs. Russia has instead demonstrated capacity to project stability by aiding allies against coups abroad, such as in Niger. Traders price the "No" outcome at 94.5% as a reflection of the regime's sustained control over key institutions despite the ongoing conflict.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Russia at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Russian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Russian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$131,224Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
May 15, 2026, 3:00 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...Russia's political system under President Vladimir Putin shows no verified signs of elite fractures or military dissent capable of triggering a coup attempt through the end of 2026. State Duma elections scheduled for September 2026 proceed amid routine preparations, with Kremlin statements highlighting external interference claims rather than internal threats. Economic pressures from Ukrainian strikes on energy infrastructure have created fuel shortages and slower growth, yet these have not produced coordinated challenges from security services or oligarchs. Russia has instead demonstrated capacity to project stability by aiding allies against coups abroad, such as in Niger. Traders price the "No" outcome at 94.5% as a reflection of the regime's sustained control over key institutions despite the ongoing conflict.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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