Recent polls from FOM and WCIOM ahead of the September 18-20 State Duma vote show United Russia maintaining a commanding lead while LDPR, New People, and KPRF cluster in the mid-teens or lower, creating a tight race for fourth place. Trader consensus at roughly even odds between LDPR and New People reflects these surveys plus structural factors such as incumbency advantages, ballot access, and regional organization for the established parliamentary parties. The Supreme Court’s August removal of Yabloko further narrowed competition among the eleven registered lists, while ongoing campaign controls and limited independent polling contribute to uncertainty over final rankings. Any late shifts in turnout or minor-party performance could alter the order among these contenders.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLiberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 47%
New People (NL) 47%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) 25%
Civic Platform (GP) 22%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 20, 2026
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
47%
New People (NL)
47%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
25%
Civic Platform (GP)
22%
Rodina
18%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
8%
United Russia (ER)
3%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 47%
New People (NL) 47%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) 25%
Civic Platform (GP) 22%
MỚI
MỚI
Sep 20, 2026
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
$10 KL.
47%
New People (NL)
$0 KL.
47%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
$20 KL.
25%
Civic Platform (GP)
$28 KL.
22%
Rodina
$43 KL.
18%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
$40 KL.
8%
United Russia (ER)
$136 KL.
3%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Recent polls from FOM and WCIOM ahead of the September 18-20 State Duma vote show United Russia maintaining a commanding lead while LDPR, New People, and KPRF cluster in the mid-teens or lower, creating a tight race for fourth place. Trader consensus at roughly even odds between LDPR and New People reflects these surveys plus structural factors such as incumbency advantages, ballot access, and regional organization for the established parliamentary parties. The Supreme Court’s August removal of Yabloko further narrowed competition among the eleven registered lists, while ongoing campaign controls and limited independent polling contribute to uncertainty over final rankings. Any late shifts in turnout or minor-party performance could alter the order among these contenders.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Thị trường mở: Sep 1, 2026, 8:42 PM ET
Khối lượng
$276Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 1, 2026, 8:42 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Recent polls from FOM and WCIOM ahead of the September 18-20 State Duma vote show United Russia maintaining a commanding lead while LDPR, New People, and KPRF cluster in the mid-teens or lower, creating a tight race for fourth place. Trader consensus at roughly even odds between LDPR and New People reflects these surveys plus structural factors such as incumbency advantages, ballot access, and regional organization for the established parliamentary parties. The Supreme Court’s August removal of Yabloko further narrowed competition among the eleven registered lists, while ongoing campaign controls and limited independent polling contribute to uncertainty over final rankings. Any late shifts in turnout or minor-party performance could alter the order among these contenders.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Khối lượng
$276Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Sep 1, 2026, 8:42 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls from FOM and WCIOM ahead of the September 18-20 State Duma vote show United Russia maintaining a commanding lead while LDPR, New People, and KPRF cluster in the mid-teens or lower, creating a tight race for fourth place. Trader consensus at roughly even odds between LDPR and New People reflects these surveys plus structural factors such as incumbency advantages, ballot access, and regional organization for the established parliamentary parties. The Supreme Court’s August removal of Yabloko further narrowed competition among the eleven registered lists, while ongoing campaign controls and limited independent polling contribute to uncertainty over final rankings. Any late shifts in turnout or minor-party performance could alter the order among these contenders.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLiên quan
Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
48%
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
92%
Liệu Nước Nga Thống Nhất (ER) có giành được nhiều ghế nhất trong cuộc bầu cử quốc hội Nga tiếp theo không?
99%
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