President Donald Trump's July 2026 endorsement of Anthony DiLorenzo has consolidated Republican support in New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District primary, scheduled for September 8, elevating the businessman and first-time candidate to an 88% implied probability in trader consensus. Earlier polls showed Hollie Noveletsky, a veteran and business owner emphasizing border security, holding a narrow lead with high undecideds, but subsequent momentum has shifted toward DiLorenzo through additional party endorsements and fundraising visibility. The remaining candidates—Melissa Bailey, Brian Cole, and Elizabeth Girard—register negligible market pricing below 1%, reflecting limited organizational or donor traction. With the vote weeks away, late shifts in turnout or uncommitted voters could still influence the outcome in this low-information primary environment.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNH-01 Republican Primary Winner
NH-01 Republican Primary Winner
Anthony DiLorenzo 88%
Hollie Noveletsky 11%
Melissa Bailey <1%
Brian Cole <1%
$46,933 KL.
$46,933 KL.
Anthony DiLorenzo
88%
Hollie Noveletsky
11%
Melissa Bailey
1%
Brian Cole
1%
Elizabeth Girard
<1%
Anthony DiLorenzo 88%
Hollie Noveletsky 11%
Melissa Bailey <1%
Brian Cole <1%
$46,933 KL.
$46,933 KL.
Anthony DiLorenzo
88%
Hollie Noveletsky
11%
Melissa Bailey
1%
Brian Cole
1%
Elizabeth Girard
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Thị trường mở: Feb 23, 2026, 11:53 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...President Donald Trump's July 2026 endorsement of Anthony DiLorenzo has consolidated Republican support in New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District primary, scheduled for September 8, elevating the businessman and first-time candidate to an 88% implied probability in trader consensus. Earlier polls showed Hollie Noveletsky, a veteran and business owner emphasizing border security, holding a narrow lead with high undecideds, but subsequent momentum has shifted toward DiLorenzo through additional party endorsements and fundraising visibility. The remaining candidates—Melissa Bailey, Brian Cole, and Elizabeth Girard—register negligible market pricing below 1%, reflecting limited organizational or donor traction. With the vote weeks away, late shifts in turnout or uncommitted voters could still influence the outcome in this low-information primary environment.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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