Tarcísio de Freitas maintains a strong lead in the São Paulo gubernatorial race as the incumbent, driven by double-digit advantages in recent polls from Datafolha, Quaest, and AtlasIntel that show him ahead of Fernando Haddad in first- and second-round scenarios. His emphasis on public security and state administration has sustained high approval ahead of the October 2026 election. Lula-aligned strategists note worries that the lack of a competitive third candidate could enable a first-round victory, while potential contenders such as Kim Kataguiri are viewed mainly as vote splitters rather than viable alternatives. These factors shape the current trader consensus around the governor's reelection outlook.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtTarcísio de Freitas 82%
Kim Kataguiri 9.8%
Fernando Haddad 8.5%
Erika Hilton 1.9%
$26,317 KL.
$26,317 KL.
Oct 4, 2026
Tarcísio de Freitas
82%
Kim Kataguiri
10%
Fernando Haddad
9%
Erika Hilton
2%
Márcio França
1%
Tarcísio de Freitas 82%
Kim Kataguiri 9.8%
Fernando Haddad 8.5%
Erika Hilton 1.9%
$26,317 KL.
$26,317 KL.
Oct 4, 2026
Tarcísio de Freitas
$11,929 KL.
82%
Kim Kataguiri
$4,186 KL.
10%
Fernando Haddad
$3,970 KL.
9%
Erika Hilton
$3,589 KL.
2%
Márcio França
$2,644 KL.
1%
The São Paulo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Tarcísio de Freitas maintains a strong lead in the São Paulo gubernatorial race as the incumbent, driven by double-digit advantages in recent polls from Datafolha, Quaest, and AtlasIntel that show him ahead of Fernando Haddad in first- and second-round scenarios. His emphasis on public security and state administration has sustained high approval ahead of the October 2026 election. Lula-aligned strategists note worries that the lack of a competitive third candidate could enable a first-round victory, while potential contenders such as Kim Kataguiri are viewed mainly as vote splitters rather than viable alternatives. These factors shape the current trader consensus around the governor's reelection outlook.
The São Paulo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Thị trường mở: Apr 27, 2026, 5:22 PM ET
Khối lượng
$26,317Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 27, 2026, 5:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The São Paulo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Tarcísio de Freitas maintains a strong lead in the São Paulo gubernatorial race as the incumbent, driven by double-digit advantages in recent polls from Datafolha, Quaest, and AtlasIntel that show him ahead of Fernando Haddad in first- and second-round scenarios. His emphasis on public security and state administration has sustained high approval ahead of the October 2026 election. Lula-aligned strategists note worries that the lack of a competitive third candidate could enable a first-round victory, while potential contenders such as Kim Kataguiri are viewed mainly as vote splitters rather than viable alternatives. These factors shape the current trader consensus around the governor's reelection outlook.
The São Paulo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Khối lượng
$26,317Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 27, 2026, 5:22 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Tarcísio de Freitas maintains a strong lead in the São Paulo gubernatorial race as the incumbent, driven by double-digit advantages in recent polls from Datafolha, Quaest, and AtlasIntel that show him ahead of Fernando Haddad in first- and second-round scenarios. His emphasis on public security and state administration has sustained high approval ahead of the October 2026 election. Lula-aligned strategists note worries that the lack of a competitive third candidate could enable a first-round victory, while potential contenders such as Kim Kataguiri are viewed mainly as vote splitters rather than viable alternatives. These factors shape the current trader consensus around the governor's reelection outlook.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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