**Trump has shown no inclination to invoke war powers for direct U.S. military action in Yemen by the September 30 deadline.** The administration has rebuffed recent Saudi requests for strikes on Houthi forces amid their Red Sea advances and attacks on Saudi targets, instead limiting support to intelligence sharing, targeting data, and non-kinetic advisory roles. A 2025 U.S.-Houthi ceasefire remains in place, with Houthi representatives recently signaling no intent to target U.S. vessels. Ongoing congressional scrutiny of the separate Iran conflict—including multiple House and Senate war powers resolutions passed since February 2026—has reinforced caution against new unauthorized hostilities. With midterms approaching and public fatigue over regional costs, traders see little basis for a sudden policy shift in the remaining days. A major escalation involving direct threats to U.S. personnel, shipping lanes, or critical Saudi infrastructure could still prompt reconsideration, though such a development appears improbable before month-end.