Recent preliminary University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment data for August 2026 printed at 51.0, reflecting an 8% month-over-month decline driven by heightened inflation concerns amid Middle East conflict pressures on energy prices. Year-ahead inflation expectations rose to 4.3% while expected business conditions weakened sharply, with only 8% of households anticipating income growth outpacing prices. This aligns closely with the market's leading 49.0–51.9 bin at 41.5% implied probability, as traders incorporate the July nonfarm payrolls contraction of 23,000 jobs, sticky core CPI near 2.5%, and broader labor-market softening into their assessments ahead of the August 28 final release. Geopolitical cost-of-living pressures and subdued wage gains relative to shelter and gasoline components continue to anchor sentiment in the low-50s range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật49.0–51.9 42%
52.0–54.9 31%
<49.0 10.4%
55.0–57.9 8%
$19,331 KL.
$19,331 KL.
Aug 28, 2026
<49.0
9%
49.0–51.9
42%
52.0–54.9
31%
55.0–57.9
8%
58.0–60.9
4%
61.0–63.9
4%
64.0+
4%
49.0–51.9 42%
52.0–54.9 31%
<49.0 10.4%
55.0–57.9 8%
$19,331 KL.
$19,331 KL.
Aug 28, 2026
<49.0
$898 KL.
9%
49.0–51.9
$2,007 KL.
42%
52.0–54.9
$10,561 KL.
31%
55.0–57.9
$3,578 KL.
8%
58.0–60.9
$1,046 KL.
4%
61.0–63.9
$563 KL.
4%
64.0+
$679 KL.
4%
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for August 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for August 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for August 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on August 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent preliminary University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment data for August 2026 printed at 51.0, reflecting an 8% month-over-month decline driven by heightened inflation concerns amid Middle East conflict pressures on energy prices. Year-ahead inflation expectations rose to 4.3% while expected business conditions weakened sharply, with only 8% of households anticipating income growth outpacing prices. This aligns closely with the market's leading 49.0–51.9 bin at 41.5% implied probability, as traders incorporate the July nonfarm payrolls contraction of 23,000 jobs, sticky core CPI near 2.5%, and broader labor-market softening into their assessments ahead of the August 28 final release. Geopolitical cost-of-living pressures and subdued wage gains relative to shelter and gasoline components continue to anchor sentiment in the low-50s range.
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for August 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for August 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for August 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on August 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for August 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for August 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on August 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Thị trường mở: Aug 4, 2026, 6:16 PM ET
Khối lượng
$19,331Ngày kết thúc
Aug 28, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 4, 2026, 6:16 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for August 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for August 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for August 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on August 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent preliminary University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment data for August 2026 printed at 51.0, reflecting an 8% month-over-month decline driven by heightened inflation concerns amid Middle East conflict pressures on energy prices. Year-ahead inflation expectations rose to 4.3% while expected business conditions weakened sharply, with only 8% of households anticipating income growth outpacing prices. This aligns closely with the market's leading 49.0–51.9 bin at 41.5% implied probability, as traders incorporate the July nonfarm payrolls contraction of 23,000 jobs, sticky core CPI near 2.5%, and broader labor-market softening into their assessments ahead of the August 28 final release. Geopolitical cost-of-living pressures and subdued wage gains relative to shelter and gasoline components continue to anchor sentiment in the low-50s range.
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for August 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for August 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for August 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on August 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for August 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for August 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on August 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Khối lượng
$19,331Ngày kết thúc
Aug 28, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 4, 2026, 6:16 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent preliminary University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment data for August 2026 printed at 51.0, reflecting an 8% month-over-month decline driven by heightened inflation concerns amid Middle East conflict pressures on energy prices. Year-ahead inflation expectations rose to 4.3% while expected business conditions weakened sharply, with only 8% of households anticipating income growth outpacing prices. This aligns closely with the market's leading 49.0–51.9 bin at 41.5% implied probability, as traders incorporate the July nonfarm payrolls contraction of 23,000 jobs, sticky core CPI near 2.5%, and broader labor-market softening into their assessments ahead of the August 28 final release. Geopolitical cost-of-living pressures and subdued wage gains relative to shelter and gasoline components continue to anchor sentiment in the low-50s range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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