The vacancy in the White House press secretary role since Karoline Leavitt’s late-August departure has produced a fluid briefing schedule filled by cabinet secretaries and senior officials. President Trump stated on September 13–14 that department heads including Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent would handle duties temporarily, with Rubio noted as potentially next and Bessent previously briefing during earlier gaps. This rotation keeps implied probabilities compressed, with Bessent at 43.2% and a long list of other names clustered near or below 3%. Scheduled appearances such as the September 15 briefing by Attorney General Todd Blanche or future cabinet sessions can shift volume quickly, while any formal appointment announcement would concentrate trader consensus on one or two individuals.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtScott Bessent 42.8%
Stephen Miller 3.3%
Anna Kelly 2.8%
Taylor Rogers 2.1%
$10,778 KL.
$10,778 KL.

Scott Bessent
43%

Stephen Miller
3%

Anna Kelly
3%

Taylor Rogers
2%

Scott Jennings
2%

JD Vance
1%

Donald Trump
1%

Marco Rubio
1%

Liz Huston
1%

Margo Martin
1%

Kush Desai
1%

Harrison Fields
<1%
Scott Bessent 42.8%
Stephen Miller 3.3%
Anna Kelly 2.8%
Taylor Rogers 2.1%
$10,778 KL.
$10,778 KL.

Scott Bessent
43%

Stephen Miller
3%

Anna Kelly
3%

Taylor Rogers
2%

Scott Jennings
2%

JD Vance
1%

Donald Trump
1%

Marco Rubio
1%

Liz Huston
1%

Margo Martin
1%

Kush Desai
1%

Harrison Fields
<1%
Resolution is based on who actually delivers the briefing from the podium, not on who is listed or announced in advance. If the individual scheduled or announced to give a briefing does not ultimately lead it, this market will resolve to the individual who does. An individual who appears at a qualifying briefing only as a guest, or who speaks only after being introduced by the individual leading the briefing, will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, a White House press briefing is an event listed on the public White House schedule as a press briefing. Any such briefing will qualify, even if the individual leading it has not been formally announced as the Press Secretary or as an acting or interim Press Secretary. "New Media" briefings and special briefings including additional guests will qualify, so long as the individual leads the briefing.
Impromptu press gaggles, and remarks that are not listed on the public schedule as a press briefing, will not qualify.
If two or more individuals jointly lead the next qualifying briefing, this market will resolve to the individual who speaks first.
If no qualifying White House press briefing occurs by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on footage of the briefing, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Sep 8, 2026, 11:02 AM ET
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Resolution is based on who actually delivers the briefing from the podium, not on who is listed or announced in advance. If the individual scheduled or announced to give a briefing does not ultimately lead it, this market will resolve to the individual who does. An individual who appears at a qualifying briefing only as a guest, or who speaks only after being introduced by the individual leading the briefing, will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market, a White House press briefing is an event listed on the public White House schedule as a press briefing. Any such briefing will qualify, even if the individual leading it has not been formally announced as the Press Secretary or as an acting or interim Press Secretary. "New Media" briefings and special briefings including additional guests will qualify, so long as the individual leads the briefing.
Impromptu press gaggles, and remarks that are not listed on the public schedule as a press briefing, will not qualify.
If two or more individuals jointly lead the next qualifying briefing, this market will resolve to the individual who speaks first.
If no qualifying White House press briefing occurs by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on footage of the briefing, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The vacancy in the White House press secretary role since Karoline Leavitt’s late-August departure has produced a fluid briefing schedule filled by cabinet secretaries and senior officials. President Trump stated on September 13–14 that department heads including Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent would handle duties temporarily, with Rubio noted as potentially next and Bessent previously briefing during earlier gaps. This rotation keeps implied probabilities compressed, with Bessent at 43.2% and a long list of other names clustered near or below 3%. Scheduled appearances such as the September 15 briefing by Attorney General Todd Blanche or future cabinet sessions can shift volume quickly, while any formal appointment announcement would concentrate trader consensus on one or two individuals.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật


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