Recent polling shows frontrunner Iván Cepeda of the Historic Pact holding 35–44 percent support ahead of the May 31 first round, with Abelardo de la Espriella and Paloma Valencia splitting conservative votes behind him at roughly 21 percent and 20 percent respectively. Colombia’s multi-candidate field and constitutional requirement of more than 50 percent for an outright victory have kept all contenders well below the threshold in every major survey released this month. Historical patterns in Colombian presidential contests reinforce the expectation of a June 21 runoff between the top two finishers. Traders’ strong consensus on no first-round majority aligns with these persistent vote-fragmentation dynamics, though a sudden consolidation of support behind one contender in the final weeks remains the only plausible scenario that could alter the current positioning.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?
$47,000 KL.
$47,000 KL.
May 31, 2026
$47,000 KL.
$47,000 KL.
May 31, 2026
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Recent polling shows frontrunner Iván Cepeda of the Historic Pact holding 35–44 percent support ahead of the May 31 first round, with Abelardo de la Espriella and Paloma Valencia splitting conservative votes behind him at roughly 21 percent and 20 percent respectively. Colombia’s multi-candidate field and constitutional requirement of more than 50 percent for an outright victory have kept all contenders well below the threshold in every major survey released this month. Historical patterns in Colombian presidential contests reinforce the expectation of a June 21 runoff between the top two finishers. Traders’ strong consensus on no first-round majority aligns with these persistent vote-fragmentation dynamics, though a sudden consolidation of support behind one contender in the final weeks remains the only plausible scenario that could alter the current positioning.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Thị trường mở: Jul 29, 2025, 1:08 PM ET
Khối lượng
$47,000Ngày kết thúc
May 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 29, 2025, 1:08 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Recent polling shows frontrunner Iván Cepeda of the Historic Pact holding 35–44 percent support ahead of the May 31 first round, with Abelardo de la Espriella and Paloma Valencia splitting conservative votes behind him at roughly 21 percent and 20 percent respectively. Colombia’s multi-candidate field and constitutional requirement of more than 50 percent for an outright victory have kept all contenders well below the threshold in every major survey released this month. Historical patterns in Colombian presidential contests reinforce the expectation of a June 21 runoff between the top two finishers. Traders’ strong consensus on no first-round majority aligns with these persistent vote-fragmentation dynamics, though a sudden consolidation of support behind one contender in the final weeks remains the only plausible scenario that could alter the current positioning.
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate wins this election in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If the result of the first round of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Khối lượng
$47,000Ngày kết thúc
May 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 29, 2025, 1:08 PM ETResolver
0x157Ce2d67...Recent polling shows frontrunner Iván Cepeda of the Historic Pact holding 35–44 percent support ahead of the May 31 first round, with Abelardo de la Espriella and Paloma Valencia splitting conservative votes behind him at roughly 21 percent and 20 percent respectively. Colombia’s multi-candidate field and constitutional requirement of more than 50 percent for an outright victory have kept all contenders well below the threshold in every major survey released this month. Historical patterns in Colombian presidential contests reinforce the expectation of a June 21 runoff between the top two finishers. Traders’ strong consensus on no first-round majority aligns with these persistent vote-fragmentation dynamics, though a sudden consolidation of support behind one contender in the final weeks remains the only plausible scenario that could alter the current positioning.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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