The Trump administration’s May 28, 2026, State Department action designating both the Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) and Comando Vermelho (CV) as Specially Designated Global Terrorists—with Foreign Terrorist Organization status effective June 5—directly accounts for the near-certain market pricing. This step aligns with the administration’s broader pattern of applying terrorist labels to major Latin American criminal networks involved in drug trafficking and transnational operations, following earlier similar moves against other groups and lobbying from Brazilian opposition figures. The designations occurred well ahead of the December 31 resolution window, leaving limited scope for reversal absent an unanticipated policy shift or legal challenge. While late-breaking diplomatic developments or congressional action could theoretically alter enforcement, the completed designations have already locked in the outcome reflected in current trader consensus.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMỚI
MỚI
Dec 31, 2026
MỚI
MỚI
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a Foreign Terrorist Organization (FTO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
This includes designation as a Foreign Terrorist Organization and/or as a Specially Designated Global Terrorist (SDGT), as well as executive action by the President, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new federal designation that formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a terrorist organization.
Statements by government officials, including the President, DHS, or FBI, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.The Trump administration’s May 28, 2026, State Department action designating both the Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) and Comando Vermelho (CV) as Specially Designated Global Terrorists—with Foreign Terrorist Organization status effective June 5—directly accounts for the near-certain market pricing. This step aligns with the administration’s broader pattern of applying terrorist labels to major Latin American criminal networks involved in drug trafficking and transnational operations, following earlier similar moves against other groups and lobbying from Brazilian opposition figures. The designations occurred well ahead of the December 31 resolution window, leaving limited scope for reversal absent an unanticipated policy shift or legal challenge. While late-breaking diplomatic developments or congressional action could theoretically alter enforcement, the completed designations have already locked in the outcome reflected in current trader consensus.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a Foreign Terrorist Organization (FTO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
This includes designation as a Foreign Terrorist Organization and/or as a Specially Designated Global Terrorist (SDGT), as well as executive action by the President, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new federal designation that formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a terrorist organization.
Statements by government officials, including the President, DHS, or FBI, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes designation as a Foreign Terrorist Organization and/or as a Specially Designated Global Terrorist (SDGT), as well as executive action by the President, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new federal designation that formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a terrorist organization.
Statements by government officials, including the President, DHS, or FBI, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: May 28, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
Khối lượng
$3,029Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
May 28, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a Foreign Terrorist Organization (FTO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
This includes designation as a Foreign Terrorist Organization and/or as a Specially Designated Global Terrorist (SDGT), as well as executive action by the President, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new federal designation that formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a terrorist organization.
Statements by government officials, including the President, DHS, or FBI, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.The Trump administration’s May 28, 2026, State Department action designating both the Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) and Comando Vermelho (CV) as Specially Designated Global Terrorists—with Foreign Terrorist Organization status effective June 5—directly accounts for the near-certain market pricing. This step aligns with the administration’s broader pattern of applying terrorist labels to major Latin American criminal networks involved in drug trafficking and transnational operations, following earlier similar moves against other groups and lobbying from Brazilian opposition figures. The designations occurred well ahead of the December 31 resolution window, leaving limited scope for reversal absent an unanticipated policy shift or legal challenge. While late-breaking diplomatic developments or congressional action could theoretically alter enforcement, the completed designations have already locked in the outcome reflected in current trader consensus.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a Foreign Terrorist Organization (FTO) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
This includes designation as a Foreign Terrorist Organization and/or as a Specially Designated Global Terrorist (SDGT), as well as executive action by the President, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new federal designation that formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a terrorist organization.
Statements by government officials, including the President, DHS, or FBI, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes designation as a Foreign Terrorist Organization and/or as a Specially Designated Global Terrorist (SDGT), as well as executive action by the President, legislation signed into law, or the creation of a new federal designation that formally designates Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) or Comando Vermelho (CV) as a terrorist organization.
Statements by government officials, including the President, DHS, or FBI, will not count unless accompanied by a formal designation.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$3,029Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
May 28, 2026, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Trump administration’s May 28, 2026, State Department action designating both the Primeiro Comando da Capital (PCC) and Comando Vermelho (CV) as Specially Designated Global Terrorists—with Foreign Terrorist Organization status effective June 5—directly accounts for the near-certain market pricing. This step aligns with the administration’s broader pattern of applying terrorist labels to major Latin American criminal networks involved in drug trafficking and transnational operations, following earlier similar moves against other groups and lobbying from Brazilian opposition figures. The designations occurred well ahead of the December 31 resolution window, leaving limited scope for reversal absent an unanticipated policy shift or legal challenge. While late-breaking diplomatic developments or congressional action could theoretically alter enforcement, the completed designations have already locked in the outcome reflected in current trader consensus.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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