Recent U.S. sanctions relief tied to Venezuela's 2026 political transition has enabled expanded licenses for operators like Chevron, supporting a gradual recovery in crude output to approximately 1.07–1.19 million barrels per day through mid-year. This marks an improvement from 2025 averages near 1.0 million bpd but remains well below historical peaks above 3 million bpd, constrained by aging infrastructure, diluent shortages, and maintenance backlogs. PDVSA has targeted 1.37 million bpd by year-end, with market-implied odds reflecting incremental gains from foreign investment inflows estimated at $1.4 billion rather than rapid scaling. Key near-term catalysts include OPEC secondary-source data releases, further regulatory clarity on joint ventures, and sustained export volumes to the U.S. and India.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$182,275 KL.
Feb 28, 2027
1.1m
100%
1.2m
54%
1.3m
19%
1.4m
8%
1.5m
7%
1.7m
3%
2m
3%
$182,275 KL.
1.1m
$20,561 KL.
100%
1.2m
$10,418 KL.
54%
1.3m
$7,633 KL.
19%
1.4m
$19,769 KL.
8%
1.5m
$9,719 KL.
7%
1.7m
$58,787 KL.
3%
2m
$16,311 KL.
3%
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.Recent U.S. sanctions relief tied to Venezuela's 2026 political transition has enabled expanded licenses for operators like Chevron, supporting a gradual recovery in crude output to approximately 1.07–1.19 million barrels per day through mid-year. This marks an improvement from 2025 averages near 1.0 million bpd but remains well below historical peaks above 3 million bpd, constrained by aging infrastructure, diluent shortages, and maintenance backlogs. PDVSA has targeted 1.37 million bpd by year-end, with market-implied odds reflecting incremental gains from foreign investment inflows estimated at $1.4 billion rather than rapid scaling. Key near-term catalysts include OPEC secondary-source data releases, further regulatory clarity on joint ventures, and sustained export volumes to the U.S. and India.
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Thị trường mở: Jan 6, 2026, 11:09 PM ET
Khối lượng
$182,275Ngày kết thúc
Feb 28, 2027Thị trường mở
Jan 6, 2026, 11:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.Recent U.S. sanctions relief tied to Venezuela's 2026 political transition has enabled expanded licenses for operators like Chevron, supporting a gradual recovery in crude output to approximately 1.07–1.19 million barrels per day through mid-year. This marks an improvement from 2025 averages near 1.0 million bpd but remains well below historical peaks above 3 million bpd, constrained by aging infrastructure, diluent shortages, and maintenance backlogs. PDVSA has targeted 1.37 million bpd by year-end, with market-implied odds reflecting incremental gains from foreign investment inflows estimated at $1.4 billion rather than rapid scaling. Key near-term catalysts include OPEC secondary-source data releases, further regulatory clarity on joint ventures, and sustained export volumes to the U.S. and India.
This market will resolve to “Yes”, if Venezuelan crude oil production is greater than or equal to the listed number of barrels per day for any month in 2026, according to the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report published for each month.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
The resolution source for this market will be the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report, published each month in reference to the previous month at https://www.opec.org/monthly-oil-market-report.html. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 5-7 DoC crude oil production based on secondary sources, tb/d” under the column for the relevant month and the “Venezuela” row.
This market will resolve as soon as Venezuelan crude oil production is reported to be greater than or equal to the listed number. If the listed number has not been reached for any month by the release of the OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 (expected to be released in January 2027), this market will resolve to “No”. If no Opec Monthly Oil Market Report for the reference month December 2026 has been published by February 28, 2027, ET and the listed number has not been reached for any prior month, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market reports crude oil production in thousands of barrels per day. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
Khối lượng
$182,275Ngày kết thúc
Feb 28, 2027Thị trường mở
Jan 6, 2026, 11:09 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent U.S. sanctions relief tied to Venezuela's 2026 political transition has enabled expanded licenses for operators like Chevron, supporting a gradual recovery in crude output to approximately 1.07–1.19 million barrels per day through mid-year. This marks an improvement from 2025 averages near 1.0 million bpd but remains well below historical peaks above 3 million bpd, constrained by aging infrastructure, diluent shortages, and maintenance backlogs. PDVSA has targeted 1.37 million bpd by year-end, with market-implied odds reflecting incremental gains from foreign investment inflows estimated at $1.4 billion rather than rapid scaling. Key near-term catalysts include OPEC secondary-source data releases, further regulatory clarity on joint ventures, and sustained export volumes to the U.S. and India.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp