Recent pre-order leaks from major retailers like Best Buy, pointing to a May 18 launch window, have become the main catalyst pushing trader sentiment toward a 61.5% implied probability of another GTA VI trailer by May 31. Rockstar Games has historically timed major trailers ahead of pre-order campaigns and earnings calls to maximize hype, and industry watchers see this pattern repeating ahead of the November release window. While no official confirmation has emerged, the proximity to Take-Two Interactive’s next investor update and ongoing marketing buildup create a narrow window for a drop. Traders weigh Rockstar’s reputation for surprise reveals against the risk of a last-minute delay, leaving room for volatility if no trailer surfaces in the coming days.