Brazil’s Senate has never removed an STF justice through impeachment despite numerous past petitions, and the process demands initiation by the prosecutor-general plus a two-thirds majority of 54 votes out of 81 senators. Recent congressional inquiries, including the April 2026 Banco Master CPI report recommending proceedings against Gilmar Mendes, Dias Toffoli, and Alexandre de Moraes, have produced no committee review or floor action under Senate President Davi Alcolumbre. Lula-aligned blocs in the current Senate continue to block advancement, while the October 2026 legislative elections and tight remaining timeline limit opportunities for any shift before 2027. Traders therefore price the outcome at roughly 92 percent against removal.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於是
$70,874 交易量
$70,874 交易量
2026-12-31
是
$70,874 交易量
$70,874 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Brazil’s Senate has never removed an STF justice through impeachment despite numerous past petitions, and the process demands initiation by the prosecutor-general plus a two-thirds majority of 54 votes out of 81 senators. Recent congressional inquiries, including the April 2026 Banco Master CPI report recommending proceedings against Gilmar Mendes, Dias Toffoli, and Alexandre de Moraes, have produced no committee review or floor action under Senate President Davi Alcolumbre. Lula-aligned blocs in the current Senate continue to block advancement, while the October 2026 legislative elections and tight remaining timeline limit opportunities for any shift before 2027. Traders therefore price the outcome at roughly 92 percent against removal.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市場開放時間： Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ET
交易量
$70,874結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Brazil’s Senate has never removed an STF justice through impeachment despite numerous past petitions, and the process demands initiation by the prosecutor-general plus a two-thirds majority of 54 votes out of 81 senators. Recent congressional inquiries, including the April 2026 Banco Master CPI report recommending proceedings against Gilmar Mendes, Dias Toffoli, and Alexandre de Moraes, have produced no committee review or floor action under Senate President Davi Alcolumbre. Lula-aligned blocs in the current Senate continue to block advancement, while the October 2026 legislative elections and tight remaining timeline limit opportunities for any shift before 2027. Traders therefore price the outcome at roughly 92 percent against removal.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any justice of the Brazil Supreme Federal Court (STF) is permanently removed from the court as a result of impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Justices leaving the court due to term limits, voluntary resignation, or any other reason not resulting from impeachment or a trial for a crime of responsibility will not count.
Impeachments, trials for crimes of responsibility, suspensions, or other procedural measures will not alone suffice to resolve this market if they do not result in the permanent removal of a justice from the Brazil Supreme Federal Court.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Brazil; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$70,874結束日期
2026-12-31市場開放時間
Jan 8, 2026, 1:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Brazil’s Senate has never removed an STF justice through impeachment despite numerous past petitions, and the process demands initiation by the prosecutor-general plus a two-thirds majority of 54 votes out of 81 senators. Recent congressional inquiries, including the April 2026 Banco Master CPI report recommending proceedings against Gilmar Mendes, Dias Toffoli, and Alexandre de Moraes, have produced no committee review or floor action under Senate President Davi Alcolumbre. Lula-aligned blocs in the current Senate continue to block advancement, while the October 2026 legislative elections and tight remaining timeline limit opportunities for any shift before 2027. Traders therefore price the outcome at roughly 92 percent against removal.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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