Incumbent Republican French Hill, first elected in 2015 and re-elected with nearly 59 percent in 2024, faces Democrat Chris Jones in the November 3 general election for Arkansas’s 2nd Congressional District. Both secured their nominations comfortably in the March 3 primaries. The district, which encompasses central Arkansas including Little Rock and surrounding counties, carries an R+8 partisan voting index and has delivered Republican victories by wide margins since post-2020 redistricting. This structural advantage, combined with Hill’s long tenure and limited evidence of broad Democratic momentum in recent polling, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 87.5 percent. The race remains subject to shifts from national conditions or turnout patterns in the final months.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於最新
最新
2026-11-03
Republican Party
88%
Democratic Party
12%
最新
最新
2026-11-03
Republican Party
$3,115 交易量
88%
Democratic Party
$6,349 交易量
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican French Hill, first elected in 2015 and re-elected with nearly 59 percent in 2024, faces Democrat Chris Jones in the November 3 general election for Arkansas’s 2nd Congressional District. Both secured their nominations comfortably in the March 3 primaries. The district, which encompasses central Arkansas including Little Rock and surrounding counties, carries an R+8 partisan voting index and has delivered Republican victories by wide margins since post-2020 redistricting. This structural advantage, combined with Hill’s long tenure and limited evidence of broad Democratic momentum in recent polling, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 87.5 percent. The race remains subject to shifts from national conditions or turnout patterns in the final months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
市場開放時間： Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
交易量
$9,464結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican French Hill, first elected in 2015 and re-elected with nearly 59 percent in 2024, faces Democrat Chris Jones in the November 3 general election for Arkansas’s 2nd Congressional District. Both secured their nominations comfortably in the March 3 primaries. The district, which encompasses central Arkansas including Little Rock and surrounding counties, carries an R+8 partisan voting index and has delivered Republican victories by wide margins since post-2020 redistricting. This structural advantage, combined with Hill’s long tenure and limited evidence of broad Democratic momentum in recent polling, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 87.5 percent. The race remains subject to shifts from national conditions or turnout patterns in the final months.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
交易量
$9,464結束日期
2026-11-03市場開放時間
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican French Hill, first elected in 2015 and re-elected with nearly 59 percent in 2024, faces Democrat Chris Jones in the November 3 general election for Arkansas’s 2nd Congressional District. Both secured their nominations comfortably in the March 3 primaries. The district, which encompasses central Arkansas including Little Rock and surrounding counties, carries an R+8 partisan voting index and has delivered Republican victories by wide margins since post-2020 redistricting. This structural advantage, combined with Hill’s long tenure and limited evidence of broad Democratic momentum in recent polling, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican nominee at 87.5 percent. The race remains subject to shifts from national conditions or turnout patterns in the final months.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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