The Bank of England’s April 30 decision to hold Bank Rate at 3.75% by an 8-1 vote, with one member favoring a 25 basis point hike, anchors trader expectations for no change at the June 18 meeting. March 2026 CPI inflation climbed to 3.3% year-over-year, fueled by energy price pass-through from Middle East supply disruptions, prompting Governor Bailey to flag unavoidable upside risks and potential forceful tightening later if oil costs remain elevated. Market-implied odds of 85.5% for no change reflect the MPC’s assessment that labor-market slack continues to dampen second-round effects despite the inflation overshoot, while the slim 14.5% probability on a 25 basis point increase captures lingering hawkish dissent. April labor data and May wage figures will be the key near-term inputs shaping the June path versus official guidance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於未有變動 86%
上調25個基點 15%
上調50個基點以上 <1%
下調超過50個基點 <1%
$144,980 交易量
$144,980 交易量
2026-06-18
下調超過50個基點
<1%
下調25個基點
<1%
未有變動
86%
上調25個基點
15%
上調50個基點以上
1%
未有變動 86%
上調25個基點 15%
上調50個基點以上 <1%
下調超過50個基點 <1%
$144,980 交易量
$144,980 交易量
2026-06-18
下調超過50個基點
$24,775 交易量
<1%
下調25個基點
$25,106 交易量
<1%
未有變動
$30,453 交易量
86%
上調25個基點
$40,774 交易量
15%
上調50個基點以上
$23,872 交易量
1%
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The Bank of England’s April 30 decision to hold Bank Rate at 3.75% by an 8-1 vote, with one member favoring a 25 basis point hike, anchors trader expectations for no change at the June 18 meeting. March 2026 CPI inflation climbed to 3.3% year-over-year, fueled by energy price pass-through from Middle East supply disruptions, prompting Governor Bailey to flag unavoidable upside risks and potential forceful tightening later if oil costs remain elevated. Market-implied odds of 85.5% for no change reflect the MPC’s assessment that labor-market slack continues to dampen second-round effects despite the inflation overshoot, while the slim 14.5% probability on a 25 basis point increase captures lingering hawkish dissent. April labor data and May wage figures will be the key near-term inputs shaping the June path versus official guidance.
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
市場開放時間： Mar 24, 2026, 7:31 PM ET
交易量
$144,980結束日期
2026-06-18市場開放時間
Mar 24, 2026, 7:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.The Bank of England’s April 30 decision to hold Bank Rate at 3.75% by an 8-1 vote, with one member favoring a 25 basis point hike, anchors trader expectations for no change at the June 18 meeting. March 2026 CPI inflation climbed to 3.3% year-over-year, fueled by energy price pass-through from Middle East supply disruptions, prompting Governor Bailey to flag unavoidable upside risks and potential forceful tightening later if oil costs remain elevated. Market-implied odds of 85.5% for no change reflect the MPC’s assessment that labor-market slack continues to dampen second-round effects despite the inflation overshoot, while the slim 14.5% probability on a 25 basis point increase captures lingering hawkish dissent. April labor data and May wage figures will be the key near-term inputs shaping the June path versus official guidance.
The summary for the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee meeting for June 2026 is scheduled to be released on June 18, 2026.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the Bank Rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of England's June 2026 meeting.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Bank of England (https://www.bankofengland.co.uk/monetary-policy/upcoming-mpc-dates), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the Bank Rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of England's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the start date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
交易量
$144,980結束日期
2026-06-18市場開放時間
Mar 24, 2026, 7:31 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Bank of England’s April 30 decision to hold Bank Rate at 3.75% by an 8-1 vote, with one member favoring a 25 basis point hike, anchors trader expectations for no change at the June 18 meeting. March 2026 CPI inflation climbed to 3.3% year-over-year, fueled by energy price pass-through from Middle East supply disruptions, prompting Governor Bailey to flag unavoidable upside risks and potential forceful tightening later if oil costs remain elevated. Market-implied odds of 85.5% for no change reflect the MPC’s assessment that labor-market slack continues to dampen second-round effects despite the inflation overshoot, while the slim 14.5% probability on a 25 basis point increase captures lingering hawkish dissent. April labor data and May wage figures will be the key near-term inputs shaping the June path versus official guidance.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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